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Prediction published on May 1, 2025 9:42 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 3, 2025 6:59 AM
At the Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the second match of Serie A Round 35, Parma are chasing three crucial points to secure their place in Italy’s top flight. Standing in their way is fellow promoted side Como, led by Cesc Fabregas, who are already mathematically safe. The Crociati are enjoying an excellent run of form, having gone unbeaten in their last seven league games with one win and six draws—the latest being a 2-2 away draw at Lazio, where they surrendered a two-goal lead in the final minutes. Thanks to this positive streak, Cristian Chivu’s side has built a reassuring 7-point lead over the relegation zone. That means if they beat Como and both Venezia and Empoli lose their respective matches against Torino and Lazio, Parma will secure safety with three rounds to spare. Como, on the other hand, secured their stay in Serie A last weekend with a 1-0 win over Genoa, climbing to 42 points—just one behind 10th-placed Torino. The Larians are now chasing a strong finish to their campaign. A win at the Tardini would mark their third consecutive away win, something they haven’t achieved since the 1950s. In this stage of the season, nothing seems out of reach for Fabregas' men, who have won four straight matches and scored in each of their last 11 Serie A games. All signs point to an entertaining match between two of the form sides in the league.
Since Cristian Chivu took over from Pecchia in mid-February, Parma are unbeaten in seven Serie A matches. They’ve collected one win (1-0 against Juventus) and six draws, including impressive 2-2 results against both Inter and Lazio. The turnaround is largely due to a tactical shift: the adoption of a 3-5-2 system has made the team more solid defensively and more threatening up front thanks to two strikers and the central midfielders' late runs.
Parma have built much of their safety campaign at home, collecting 8 points in their last four matches at the Tardini: draws with Inter and Torino and big wins against Bologna and Juventus. At home, they average 1.47 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game, although their defensive numbers have improved since Chivu’s arrival.
Como come into this Serie A Round 35 fixture in outstanding form, riding a four-game winning streak over Monza, Torino, Lecce, and Genoa. Goalkeeper Butez has kept clean sheets in the last three matches, while the team has scored in 11 consecutive games, showcasing Fabregas' proactive and vertical style of play.
If there’s one weak spot, it's Como's away record: they’ve picked up just 16 of their 42 points on the road (4 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses). That said, they’ve won 3 of their last 5 away games, scoring in all of them and keeping clean sheets in two—against Fiorentina and Lecce.
The last three head-to-heads at the Stadio Tardini have all ended in narrow wins for Parma: 2-1, 1-0, and 4-3. The reverse fixture at the Stadio Sinigaglia back in October finished 1-1, with Bonny scoring for Parma and Nico Paz equalizing for Como.
In recent weeks, Parma have shown a wide range of attacking options: against Juventus, they won with a header from Pellegrino, while against Lazio, they struck twice thanks to runs from Ondrejka. With attacking depth on the bench—Djuric and Man are both available—Chivu’s team looks likely to break Como’s defensive streak and score after three consecutive clean sheets by the visitors.
Como, missing striker Diao, have shown they can spread the goals around. In their last two away games (against Lecce and Monza), they scored three times in each. Recent scorers include Strefezza, Douvikas, Goldaniga, and Ikoné, confirming they’re not reliant on a single player to find the net.
Considering that these are two teams in great form that will play openly, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Parma vs Como predicts an entertaining match in which both teams will score at least one goal.
Parma (3-5-2): Suzuki; Leoni, Valenti, Hainaut; Delprato, Sohm, Keita, Ondrejka, Valeri; Bonny, Pellegrino.
Coach: Cristian Chivu
Como (4-2-3-1): Butez; Vojvoda, Goldaniga, Kempf, Valle; Caqueret, Da Cunha; Ikoné; Nico Paz, Strefezza; Cutrone. Coach: Cesc Fabregas
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
7
3