Parma and Cremonese meet at Stadio Ennio Tardini on September 1, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 local time. This Coppa Italia round-of-32 fixture brings together two teams that won their opening cup ties 2-0 but have since endured difficult starts to their respective league campaigns. Parma eliminated Catania, while Cremonese progressed at Sampdoria's expense. Neither side scored across its first two league matches, making attacking efficiency one of the central themes of this cup preview. Parma have home advantage and are considered slight favorites, but the win probabilities remain close: 39% for the hosts, 29% for the draw and 32% for Cremonese. With both teams struggling to create clear chances in their latest games, the contest could be decided by a small number of important moments.

Parma Recent Form and Key Statistics

Parma enter the match after a 2-0 defeat against Juventus on August 29. That result followed a 1-0 home loss to Cagliari, leaving the hosts without a goal or a point from their opening two league fixtures. Although both games ended in defeat, Parma were described as somewhat unfortunate not to collect anything from those performances.

Their only victory of the new season came in the previous Coppa Italia round. Simone Lontani scored both goals in a 2-0 win over Catania, giving Parma a place in this stage of the competition. Their cup record therefore stands at one win, no draws and no defeats, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.

Across Parma's last five matches, the record is one victory, one draw and three defeats. They have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per game during that sequence while conceding 1.2. The attacking concern is reinforced by the fact that they managed a total of five shots on target across their two most recent league games. However, their Coppa Italia first-round display showed that they can be more effective when chances arrive.

There are also notable timing trends surrounding the home side. More than 0.5 second-half goals have been recorded in 18 of Parma's last 20 matches, suggesting that their games regularly open up after the interval. In addition, Parma have been ahead at half-time in seven of their last ten Coppa Italia fixtures. Those numbers offer encouragement, even if their recent scoring average points toward another closely contested game.

Cremonese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Cremonese travel to Parma following a 3-0 home defeat against Modena on August 28. Their previous league match ended in a 1-0 away loss to Empoli, so the visitors have also started their league schedule with two defeats and no goals scored. Producing only one shot on target across those 180 minutes has increased the pressure around the team and underlined the scale of their attacking problems.

Their Coppa Italia campaign began much more positively. Cremonese defeated Sampdoria 2-0 in the opening round, matching Parma's cup record of one victory, no draws and no losses. They have also averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded in the competition this season, meaning both clubs arrive with identical Coppa Italia figures.

Looking at a wider five-match sample, Cremonese have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their average of 0.6 goals scored is exactly the same as Parma's, although their average of 0.8 conceded is slightly lower than the hosts' 1.2. Even so, their two latest defeats and lack of attacking output make this a demanding away assignment.

The visitors' first-half statistics are especially relevant. At least one team has failed to score before the interval in each of Cremonese's last 28 matches. They have also been behind at half-time in six of their last ten away fixtures. That combination suggests a cautious opening is possible, but it also highlights Cremonese's vulnerability during the first half when playing away.

Parma vs Cremonese Match Analysis

The available evidence points toward a tight Coppa Italia encounter rather than an open contest. Both teams won 2-0 in the previous round, yet neither has scored in its first two league matches. Parma followed their cup success with defeats against Cagliari and Juventus, while Cremonese lost to Empoli and Modena. Their five-match scoring averages are identical at just 0.6 goals per game.

Chance creation is another major concern. Parma registered five shots on target across their last two league fixtures, while Cremonese produced only one over the same number of matches. Those totals do not guarantee a low-scoring game, but they clearly show why sustained attacking pressure may be difficult for either side to generate.

The probability data supports that reading. Both Teams To Score (No) is rated at 57%, while the under 2.5-goal outcome also carries a 57% probability. The win market is considerably less decisive, with only seven percentage points separating Parma and Cremonese. Home advantage and the assessment that Parma possess the stronger squad give the hosts a narrow edge, but their recent results make a home victory far from certain.

The head-to-head record adds another layer of caution. The most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 result on March 21, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Parma's perspective, the record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. This balance makes it difficult to identify a dominant side, increasing the likelihood that efficiency in front of goal will determine the outcome.

Parma's strong half-time record in this competition could help them take control early, whereas Cremonese's repeated half-time deficits away from home represent a concern for the visitors. At the same time, the long Cremonese sequence in which at least one side has remained scoreless at half-time supports the possibility of a measured start. Given the limited attacking production shown by both teams, a match containing fewer than three total goals is the most coherent conclusion.

Parma vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.