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Prediction published on Mar 19, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Mar 19, 2026 4:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Cremonese promises to be a crucial battle in the lower half of the table. Scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026, this fixture at the Tardini will see two sides in contrasting forms: Parma looking to regain momentum after a recent setback, and Cremonese desperately seeking to end a long winless streak that has dragged them into the relegation zone. With both teams struggling in front of goal, the match could hinge on defensive discipline and the ability to capitalize on limited chances.
Parma enter this encounter sitting 12th in the Serie A standings with 34 points, maintaining a 10-point cushion above the relegation zone. Their recent form, however, has been inconsistent. After a five-match unbeaten run, the team suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat away to Torino on March 13, halting their progress toward mid-table safety. In their last five matches, Parma have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Despite their relatively stable position, Parma’s home record remains a concern. They have collected only 14 of their 34 points at the Tardini and possess the second-worst home attack in the league, with just 11 goals scored. The team’s inability to start strongly is also notable — they have not led at half time in their last 16 home matches and in their last 15 Serie A fixtures overall. This trend highlights a recurring issue with slow starts and limited attacking efficiency in the opening stages of games.
Parma’s squad will be missing key figures for this match. Captain Delprato is suspended, while Cremaschi remains sidelined following knee surgery. Several players, including Frigan, Almqvist, and Bernabè, are doubtful. The attacking duo of Strefezza and Pellegrino are expected to lead the line as the team aims to exploit Cremonese’s defensive frailties.
Cremonese are enduring a disastrous run of form that has seen them drop to 18th place in the Serie A table. Their last victory dates back to December 7, and since then, they have gone 15 matches without a win, collecting only 4 points. The latest setback was a 4-1 defeat to Fiorentina on March 16, further deepening their crisis. Over their last five matches, Cremonese have managed 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and conceding 2.2 per game.
Despite a promising start to the season, the team’s collapse has been dramatic. Three of their five wins this campaign came away from home, but they now risk suffering a seventh consecutive away defeat — something not seen since March 1985. The club’s management responded by dismissing Davide Nicola and appointing Marco Giampaolo, who will take charge of his first match in this fixture. The new coach is expected to implement tactical changes, possibly switching to a 4-3-1-2 formation with Okereke and Bonazzoli up front, supported by Vandeputte. However, the squad remains depleted, with Coccolo and Baschirotto injured, Bondo suspended, and Vardy doubtful.
The psychological impact of such a prolonged winless streak cannot be underestimated. Cremonese’s defensive instability and lack of attacking precision have been their undoing, and even with a managerial change, the team faces an uphill battle to avoid relegation. Their inability to maintain focus in key moments has cost them valuable points, and a trip to Parma offers little respite given their current form.
This match presents a classic scenario of a struggling side facing a team seeking redemption after a setback. Parma will look to exploit their home advantage and the visitors’ defensive weaknesses, while Cremonese will aim to find stability under their new coach. Historically, encounters between these two sides have been tight, with the last head-to-head ending 0-0 on September 21, 2025. Across their recent meetings, Parma have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring match appears likely. Parma’s limited attacking output at home and Cremonese’s ongoing scoring drought suggest that goals may be scarce. The hosts, however, have the advantage of stability and slightly better form, while the visitors’ morale remains fragile. If Parma can impose their rhythm early and avoid defensive lapses, they are well-positioned to claim a vital win that would further distance them from the relegation zone.
From a betting perspective, the data indicates a balanced contest but with a slight edge for the home side. The win probabilities stand at 45% for Parma, 28% for a draw, and 27% for Cremonese. The Under 2.5 goals market also appears strong, with a 57% likelihood, reflecting both teams’ struggles in front of goal. Additionally, the Both Teams To Score – No outcome has a 52% probability, reinforcing expectations of a cautious, defense-oriented match.
Parma vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1