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Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 4:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Hellas Verona promises to be a tense and crucial encounter for both sides. Scheduled for Sunday, February 15, 2026, at the Ennio Tardini Stadium, this fixture brings together two teams fighting for stability in the league. Parma, currently sitting 14th in the table, will look to build on their recent win, while bottom-placed Verona desperately need points to revive their survival hopes. With both clubs struggling for consistency, this match could be decisive in shaping their immediate future in the competition.
Parma enter this fixture with renewed confidence after a hard-fought 1-0 victory away to Bologna on February 8, 2026. That result ended a four-match winless streak and provided a much-needed morale boost for Carlos Cuesta’s men. Despite that success, the team’s overall record this season remains modest, with 6 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats in Serie A. They have averaged just 0.7 goals scored per game while conceding 1.3, underlining their difficulties in front of goal.
At home, Parma have struggled to turn performances into victories, winning only one of their last ten league matches at the Tardini. In six of those games, they failed to find the net, a statistic that highlights their offensive inefficiency. The team also tends to start slowly — they have not led at half-time in 26 of their last 28 Serie A fixtures. However, their defensive organization has improved recently, as shown in the clean sheet against Bologna.
In terms of player availability, Parma will be without the suspended Mariano Troilo, while defensive absences continue to pile up with Zion Suzuki and Lautaro Valenti sidelined. Abdoulaye N'Diaye remains doubtful, and Nahuel Estevez could also miss out due to fitness concerns. On a positive note, young defender Dominik Drobnic may get another opportunity to impress after recent solid performances. The team’s main goal will be to maintain defensive discipline and capitalize on Verona’s weaknesses.
Hellas Verona travel to Parma in desperate need of a turnaround. Their goalless draw against Pisa on February 6, 2026, extended their winless run to nine league matches. With only 2 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats this season, Verona sit at the bottom of the Serie A table. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.7, reflecting both attacking inefficiency and defensive fragility.
Verona’s away form is particularly concerning, with just one win in twelve away fixtures. They have drawn five and lost six of those, often struggling to create clear chances. The team has failed to score in three of their last four away games, and their attack has been among the least productive in the league. Despite these struggles, the return of Amin Sarr from suspension could provide a much-needed boost up front, as he is expected to partner Gift Orban in attack.
Injury problems continue to affect the squad. Roberto Gagliardini remains out with a muscle injury, while Nicolas Valentini and Antoine Bernede are doubtful. Tomas Suslov is still sidelined with a long-term knee issue. These absences have limited coach Paolo Sammarco’s options, particularly in midfield, forcing Verona to rely on a compact defensive setup and counterattacks.
This encounter is expected to be a low-scoring and tightly contested affair. Both teams have struggled offensively throughout the season, and their recent results suggest a cautious approach. Parma’s home advantage could play a role, but their inability to score consistently makes them far from a safe bet. Verona, on the other hand, have shown resilience in defense but lack the cutting edge to convert chances into goals.
Historically, meetings between these sides have been balanced, with each team winning twice and one draw in their last five head-to-head clashes. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended 2-1 in favor of Parma, and the home side will aim to repeat that success. Given the current form and statistical trends, a match with few goals seems likely, with Parma slightly favored to avoid defeat.
Considering the data and recent performances, the most probable scenario points toward a cautious game dominated by defensive organization rather than attacking flair. Both teams will likely prioritize avoiding mistakes over taking risks, which supports a prediction leaning toward a low-scoring outcome.
Parma vs Hellas Verona prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Hellas Verona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
8
2
8
2
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0