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Prediction published on Jan 30, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 30, 2026 7:03 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Juventus promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides with very different ambitions. The match will take place at the Ennio Tardini Stadium on Sunday, February 1, 2026, as part of the 23rd round of the Italian top flight. The home team are looking to bounce back after a heavy defeat, while the visitors aim to continue their strong run of form and keep the pressure on the top four.
Parma enter this fixture sitting 15th in the Serie A standings with 23 points, just six above the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five league matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). The most recent outing ended in a disappointing 4-0 loss away to Atalanta, exposing once again the team’s attacking struggles. In fact, Parma have failed to score in their last three consecutive matches and have found the net in only one of their last five home games.
Throughout the season, Parma have recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging just 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their lack of offensive efficiency has been a recurring issue, as highlighted by several low-scoring encounters: under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in 8 of their last 31 Serie A matches, and in 3 of their last 12 home fixtures. The team’s inability to convert chances has left them vulnerable, especially against stronger opponents — they have drawn 8 and lost 8 against teams currently above them in the table.
Coach Cuesta will once again rely on goalkeeper Corvi, who replaces the injured Suzuki. There are still doubts over Frigan and Ndiaye, while Valenti remains unavailable. After the poor showing in Bergamo, Benedyczak could start from the bench, with Sorensen and Estevez competing for a midfield spot. Parma’s main challenge will be to rediscover their attacking rhythm and avoid extending their goalless streak to four matches for the first time since 2013.
Juventus arrive at the Tardini in fifth place with 19 points more than their hosts. The Bianconeri have been in excellent form, winning three of their last five matches across all competitions and keeping three consecutive clean sheets. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw away to Monaco in the Champions League, following a convincing 3-0 home victory over Napoli in Serie A thanks to goals from Jonathan David, Kenan Yildiz, and Filip Kostic.
In domestic competition, Juventus have collected 12 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor, with no goals conceded in their last three matches in all competitions. However, their away form has shown some vulnerability — all four of their league defeats this season have come on the road. Even so, Juventus remain one of the most consistent sides in Italy, having earned 22 points in their last ten Serie A fixtures, second only to Inter.
For this match, Di Gregorio returns in goal after being rested in midweek, while Locatelli and David are expected to start again. Rugani and Vlahovic are still unavailable, and Milik’s condition will be assessed before kickoff. Juventus have dominated recent meetings with Parma, winning four of the last five head-to-heads, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season. They have also scored at least two goals in five of their last six encounters with the Gialloblù.
This fixture pits one of the league’s most solid defenses against one of the least prolific attacks. Parma have struggled to find the net, while Juventus have built their success on defensive discipline and clinical finishing. The visitors’ recent record — three clean sheets in a row and only one goal conceded in their last five matches — suggests they are well-equipped to handle Parma’s limited offensive threat.
Historically, this matchup has favored Juventus, who have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten meetings with Parma. The last two head-to-heads ended without both teams scoring, and the same trend could continue given the current form of both sides. With Juventus’ attack firing and Parma’s struggles in front of goal, the visitors are expected to control possession and create the better chances, while the hosts will likely focus on containment and counterattacks.
Considering the statistical trends, low-scoring outcomes have been common for both teams: under 3.5 goals have been recorded in Juventus’ last 11 away league matches, and Parma’s home games have also tended to produce few goals. Therefore, a tight contest is anticipated, with Juventus having the upper hand thanks to their superior quality and momentum.
Parma vs Juventus prediction by BetMines:
The recommended pick is Double Chance X2 + Under 3.5 goals, reflecting Juventus’ 59% win probability and the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
9
1
8
2
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0