Predictions
Top Leagues
Jan 29, 2025
The 23rd round of Serie A kicks off with a crucial relegation battle at the Ennio Tardini Stadium, where Fabio Pecchia’s Parma faces Marco Giampaolo’s Lecce. Both teams have accumulated the same number of points (20), but the Ducali currently sit above the relegation zone thanks to a superior goal difference. There is no doubt that both sides will go all out to secure these vital three points in the race for survival. Parma enters this match after a heartbreaking 3-2 defeat against AC Milan, where defensive and mental weaknesses were exposed. Despite leading 2-1 at the 90th minute, Pecchia’s team conceded twice in injury time. Additionally, Parma will have to cope with significant absences in both attack and defense, forcing the coach to rely on recent signings. On the other hand, Lecce aims to end a two-game losing streak after heavy defeats to Cagliari and Inter. Defensive solidity will be key for the visitors, as they have conceded four goals in each of their last two matches.
As mentioned, Parma comes into this match with several absences. In defense, they will be without suspended Del Prato and injured Denis Man, who was forced off early against Milan. Pecchia may opt for young winger Haj from the start or deploy a two-striker system featuring Bonny and Djuric.
At home, Parma’s record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. The Ducali have scored 17 goals and conceded 19 at the Tardini. Over their last four home matches, they have managed one draw, two wins, and one defeat.
Lecce is struggling with form, having suffered two consecutive heavy defeats, including a 4-0 home loss to Inter. Before this poor run, however, they secured an unexpected 3-1 away victory against Empoli, a result that offered hope given Lecce’s struggles in front of goal. The Salentini currently hold the worst attacking record in Serie A, with just 15 goals scored this season.
Focusing on their away performances, Lecce has won two games (against Empoli and Venezia) in their last five away matches, showing improvement under Giampaolo. However, their offensive struggles remain evident, with only six goals scored in 11 away fixtures.
Parma and Lecce could produce a cagey affair, with both sides wary of making costly mistakes. The home team is expected to control possession, looking to capitalize on Djuric’s aerial ability from set-pieces or moments of individual brilliance from Mihaila and Cancellieri.
Lecce, meanwhile, will likely prioritize defensive organization and attempt to hit Parma on the counter, utilizing the technical skills of players like Tete Morente and Pierotti. Given Lecce’s struggles in front of goal and the high stakes of this match, BetMines' prediction for Parma vs. Lecce leans toward Under 3.5 goals.
Parma (4-2-3-1): Suzuki; Hainaut, Vogliacco, Valenti, Valeri; Camara, Sohm; Cancellieri, Haj, Mihaila; Djuric. Coach: Pecchia
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo; Coulibaly, Pierret, Helgason; Morente, Krstovic, Pierotti. Coach: Giampaolo
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Lecce
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1