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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 5:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Parma and Pisa promises to be a decisive one in the battle for survival. Scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026, at the Stadio Tardini, this fixture marks matchday 34 of the season. The home side approach the encounter with renewed confidence after distancing themselves from the relegation zone, while the visitors are on the brink of mathematical relegation and desperately need a positive result to keep their faint hopes alive.
Parma come into this match following a crucial 1-0 away win against Udinese on April 18, a result that ended a six-game winless streak and pushed them closer to safety. The team has now collected 39 points after 33 rounds — their best tally at this stage since 2020 — and another victory could mathematically secure their Serie A status. Despite this progress, their home record remains modest, with only three wins at the Tardini this season, alongside six draws and seven defeats.
Throughout the campaign, Parma have shown a solid defensive structure but limited attacking output. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per match while conceding 1.2. In their last five league games, they have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Interestingly, only three of their last fourteen Serie A matches have seen fewer than 0.5 total goals, underlining their tendency for low-scoring affairs.
Five of Parma’s nine league victories have come against teams ranked below them at the start of the round, suggesting they perform best when facing direct rivals. The previous head-to-head meeting with Pisa, played in December 2025, ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Parma, and a similar outcome could be enough to seal their survival this weekend.
Pisa travel to Parma in dire straits, sitting bottom of the Serie A table and facing the real possibility of relegation. Their 2-1 home defeat to Genoa on April 19 extended a miserable run of form, with just one win in their last five matches and four consecutive losses. Over that stretch, Pisa have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, highlighting their defensive fragility.
Their season-long statistics paint a bleak picture: only two wins, twelve draws, and nineteen defeats, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Pisa have failed to win any of their last 19 away fixtures and remain winless in their last 16 Serie A trips. They have also failed to score in five consecutive away games and in 18 league matches overall this season — the worst record in the division.
Defensively, Pisa have conceded at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 Serie A matches, while their inability to lead at half-time has persisted in 30 of their last 32 league games. The team’s struggles on both ends of the pitch have left them with little margin for error, and another defeat could confirm their relegation.
This encounter is expected to be a tense and cautious affair, with both sides aware of what is at stake. Parma will likely rely on their compact defensive shape and home advantage to control the tempo, while Pisa must find a way to rediscover their scoring touch if they are to avoid another setback. Given both teams’ low attacking averages and the visitors’ poor away record, a high-scoring match appears unlikely.
Historically, Parma have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings and losing just once. Their ability to grind out narrow victories, combined with Pisa’s lack of confidence on the road, makes the hosts the more likely side to prevail. However, with both teams struggling in front of goal, the match could easily turn into a tactical stalemate dominated by defensive discipline rather than attacking flair.
Parma vs Pisa prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Pisa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
8
2
2
8
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1