The 25th matchday of Serie A features an important clash at the Ennio Tardini Stadium on Sunday, February 16, as Parma, led by Fabio Pecchia, takes on Roma, coached by Claudio Ranieri. These two teams are experiencing completely opposite forms and are in search of crucial points to achieve their seasonal objectives: survival for Parma and a European spot for Roma. The hosts started the season well but now seem incapable of winning, with their last victory dating back to December 28 (2-1 against Monza). Since then, Parma has collected only two points in six matches, dropping to the relegation zone. However, salvation is still within reach as Hellas Verona, Como, and Empoli remain close in the standings. Pecchia is aware of the challenges his team faces against Roma, especially with Parma’s offensive struggles. On the positive side, Denis Man is expected to return to the starting XI, but they will be without Milan Djuric, who was signed in January from Monza to bolster the attack. Roma, on the other hand, comes into this fixture in a much stronger position. Their Europa League playoff draw against Parma followed an important Serie A victory over Venezia, showing signs of momentum. Sitting ninth in the table, a win would push Roma closer to Bologna and AC Milan, reigniting their hopes for a top-six finish, which seemed unrealistic just two months ago.

Parma's shape and key statistics

Parma suffered a 2-1 defeat against Cagliari in their last league match, marking their third consecutive Serie A loss after defeats to Milan and Lecce. In their last five Serie A matches, they have recorded four losses and one draw, averaging one goal scored and two conceded per game.

Overall, their season record stands at 4 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses. The biggest concern for Pecchia remains the defense, which has conceded 44 goals—second-worst in Serie A, only better than Hellas Verona. Despite their poor league position, Parma has scored 30 goals, making them the highest-scoring team in the bottom half of the table.

Roma's shape and key statistics

Roma is in good form, having secured two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches. Their recent 1-1 Europa League draw against Porto was overshadowed by Paulo Dybala’s injury, which forced him to leave the field in the first half.

The Giallorossi have shown significant improvement, remaining unbeaten in their last eight Serie A matches (5 wins, 3 draws). Moreover, they have finally found some away form, securing back-to-back away victories against Venezia and Udinese after 13 winless away games. However, Roma remains one of the least prolific away teams, having scored only 11 goals in 12 away league matches.

Parma vs Roma Prediction and Tactical Analysis

This season, Parma has shown they can challenge Serie A giants, as evidenced by their performances against Milan, Juventus, and Napoli. However, they remain an unbalanced side, capable of scoring but also prone to heavy defeats, such as the 5-0 loss to Roma in the reverse fixture at the Stadio Olimpico.

Roma has scored in each of their last four away matches, and given their strength on the counterattack and set pieces, they are well-positioned to find the net at least once. Additionally, Ranieri may rotate his squad with the return leg against Porto in mind.

According to BetMines’ prediction algorithm sees both Parma and Roma scoring. 

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Parma vs Roma match predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 51%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Parma vs Roma match predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score at 49%.

Predicted Lineups Parma vs Roma

Parma (4-2-3-1): Suzuki; Delprato, Vogliacco, Leoni, Valeri; Hernani, Keita; Man, Bernabé, Cancellieri; Bonny. Coach: Pecchia.

Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Nelsson, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Koné, Pisilli, Angelino; Baldanzi, El Shaarawy; Dovbyk. Coach: Ranieri.