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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 2:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on May 22, 2026 2:01 PM
The final round of Serie A brings an intriguing regional clash between Parma and Sassuolo, two sides that have already secured their main seasonal objectives but still aim to close the campaign on a positive note. Although the result will not affect the standings significantly, the match promises entertainment and attacking football, as both teams have shown flashes of quality throughout the year. With the afternoon kickoff at the Tardini, the atmosphere should be relaxed yet competitive, as local pride is always at stake in this derby.
Parma approach this fixture sitting 13th in Serie A, just two points behind Torino. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last five matches. The most recent outing ended in a 1-0 loss against Como on May 17, a result that confirmed their struggles in front of goal. Over the course of the season, Parma have recorded 10 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
These numbers highlight a team that has often relied on defensive organization rather than attacking flair. However, with the pressure off, Parma could adopt a more open approach in this final fixture. Their head-to-head record against Sassuolo shows 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The last meeting between the two sides ended in a 1-1 draw earlier this year, suggesting another balanced contest could be on the cards.
Despite several absences, Parma’s squad depth has allowed them to remain competitive. The attacking duo of Pellegrino and Strefezza has been a bright spot, capable of troubling even well-organized defenses. With the home crowd behind them, the Gialloblù will look to end the season with a performance full of energy and pride.
Sassuolo sit slightly higher in the table, occupying 11th place with 14 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats. Their campaign has been characterized by attacking intent and occasional defensive lapses. The Neroverdi’s last match was a 2-3 home defeat to Lecce on May 17, a result that halted their push for a top-half finish. Over the last five fixtures, they have collected 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.2.
Throughout the season, Sassuolo have displayed a more proactive style of play, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match. Their attacking trio of Berardi, Laurienté, and Pinamonti has been particularly effective, providing creativity and finishing power. Even though the team has already secured mid-table safety, the motivation to finish above their regional rivals should be enough to inspire a strong performance.
In midfield, Koné has been key in dictating tempo and linking play, while goalkeeper Turati has provided reliability between the posts. Sassuolo’s attacking mindset often leaves space at the back, but it also makes their matches entertaining and unpredictable. Against Parma, they will aim to impose their rhythm early and exploit any defensive gaps.
This Emilia derby may not influence the final standings, but it carries emotional weight and local pride. Both sides have shown signs of fatigue in recent weeks, combining for five defeats in their last six matches. However, the relaxed context of the final round could lead to a more open and attacking encounter. With both teams eager to entertain their supporters, goals at both ends seem likely.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, and the statistical indicators reinforce that impression. Parma’s home advantage could help them stay competitive, but Sassuolo’s superior attacking numbers suggest they might create more chances. The expected warm conditions and lack of pressure could further encourage offensive play, making this a potentially lively contest.
According to the available probabilities, the home win stands at 33%, the draw at 28%, and the away win at 38%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option carries a 48% likelihood, while Under 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 57%. Given the attacking talent on display and the relaxed setting, the balance may tilt toward an entertaining draw with goals on both sides.
Parma vs Sassuolo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1