Parma host Torino at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Monday, October 19, 2026, as Serie A’s seventh round comes to a close. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time. Parma enter the match in 18th place after a difficult start under new coach Alberto Gilardino, whose first game ended in a 3-0 defeat to Inter. Torino sit 12th and arrive with renewed momentum after beating Udinese 2-1. Their recent improvement contrasts with Parma’s need for points, although the hosts have taken four from their last two home fixtures. With both teams producing relatively few shots on target, this Parma vs Torino preview points to a contest in which chances could be at a premium.

Parma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Parma have one win, one draw and four defeats from their first six Serie A matches. They have averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per league game. Their last five matches have yielded one win, two draws and two losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. The most recent setback came at Inter on October 10: Parma were three goals down within the opening half-hour and eventually lost 3-0.

That result made for a difficult start to Gilardino’s tenure. He replaced Carlos Cuesta and returned to a club where he spent three years as a player; he remains Parma’s second-highest scorer in the club’s Serie A history. The immediate task is to improve a record that has left the side in the relegation places. Home performances offer some encouragement, however, with four points from Parma’s last two matches at the Tardini. They have also avoided defeat in their last two home meetings with Torino.

Parma have injury concerns ahead of this fixture. Pontus Almqvist is out with a calf problem, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia has a groin issue, and Nesta Elphege is unavailable after surgery for acute appendicitis. Gilardino also has concerns over central defender Abdoulaye Ndiaye, who missed the trip to Inter because of a problem. With Elphege absent, Simone Lontani could return to the starting side, while David Romero is another option. Lontani is the youngest Serie A scorer this season.

Parma’s matches have followed a consistent goals pattern: under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 10 games. At least one second-half goal has featured in their last 11 home Serie A matches and in 21 of their last 23 league fixtures overall. Those figures describe goals across both teams in each match, rather than Parma’s scoring alone.

Torino’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Torino recorded their first home league victory of the season on October 12, beating Udinese 2-1. The score was level at 1-1 when Sandro Kulenovic came off the bench; within three minutes, he had scored the decisive goal. After three consecutive defeats earlier in the campaign, Ignazio Abate’s side have collected seven points from their last four league games through two wins and a draw.

Torino’s six-match Serie A record stands at two wins, one draw and three defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match this season. Across their last five outings, they have two wins, one draw and two losses, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals per game on average. They now have the chance to claim consecutive victories for the first time since April.

The away record presents a mixed picture. Torino have won only two of their last 13 away matches, but their two most recent trips brought four points. The win over Udinese has also created a decision in attack: Giovanni Simeone is still seeking his first league goal of the season, while match-winner Kulenovic is pushing for a starting place alongside the options provided by Simeone and Che Adams. Emirhan Ilkhan had to leave the Udinese game with an adductor injury, while Nicolò Fortini could be ready to return after a thigh strain.

Torino’s league games have contained over 1.5 total goals in each of the last 11, and at least one second-half goal has appeared in 26 of their last 29 Serie A matches. They have not led at half-time in any of their last 17 league fixtures. These trends leave room for goals after the break, even if Torino have struggled to establish an early advantage.

Parma vs Torino Match Analysis

The teams approach this fixture with contrasting recent results but no clear advantage. Parma have the benefit of their recent home returns, while Torino’s seven points from four matches show an improvement on their earlier run. Their previous head-to-head meeting finished 4-1 on March 13, 2026; across the five meetings covered by the supplied record, Parma have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded.

Chance creation could be decisive. Parma and Torino have the lowest shots-on-target averages per match in Serie A, and both rank among the bottom three teams for balls played into the opposition penalty area. Parma’s run of 10 matches below four total goals supports a restrained outlook, while Torino’s sequence of games above 1.5 goals argues against assuming a goalless affair. The available figures put the probability of under 2.5 goals at 62%, compared with 38% for over 2.5. Torino arrive in better form, but Parma’s recent home results give them a basis to compete in what may be a closely fought match.

Parma vs Torino prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.