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Prediction published on Nov 26, 2025 5:14 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 26, 2025 5:14 PM
At the Ennio Tardini Stadium on Saturday, 29 November, Parma and Udinese face off in one of the most balanced and uncertain matches of Serie A Matchday 13. The game concerns the mid-lower part of the table: the Gialloblù are 15th, while the Friulani occupy 10th place, with only a four-point gap between the two teams. Parma, with a three-point cushion above the relegation zone, can take an important step towards safety with a victory, while a defeat could push them back down. Udinese, on the other hand, is looking for a win to get closer to sixth place, currently six points away, and to relaunch their European ambitions. After an inconsistent start to the season for both sides, the match promises to be competitive, with both teams determined to secure three points to maintain momentum and preserve the progress made so far.
Parma is in good form, coming off two consecutive positive results that have boosted their survival ambitions. In the last Serie A round, the Gialloblù claimed a crucial 2-1 away victory against Hellas Verona, thanks to a double from Mateo Pellegrino, already on four league goals.
The four points collected in the last two matchdays have allowed Parma to distance themselves from the relegation zone and climb to 15th place with 11 points, the result of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. Cuesta’s team scores an average of 0.75 goals per match while conceding 1.25: despite the Spanish coach’s focus on defensive organization, Parma has kept a clean sheet in only three of the first twelve games of the season.
Home form has been less impressive: in the last four matches at the Tardini, they have only collected 2 points. Overall, in the first six home games, the Gialloblù earned 6 points (1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses), with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.33 conceded per match.
It has been a difficult period for Udinese, who have lost three of their last four league matches, managing just one win. On 22 November, the Bianconeri suffered their second consecutive defeat, collapsing 3-0 at home against Bologna after a 2-0 loss to Roma: two games in which the team failed to score, highlighting their current offensive struggles.
After a good start to the season, Udinese has slowed down and currently sits in 12th place with 15 points (4 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses), averaging 1 goal scored and 1.67 conceded per match. The main issue remains the defense: with 20 goals conceded, Udinese has the second-worst defense in the league, ahead of only Torino (21).
Away form has also dropped: after victories in their first two away games against Inter and Pisa, the Bianconeri have collected just one point in the next four outings, drawing with Cremonese and losing to Sassuolo, Juventus, and Roma. On the road, the team averages 1 goal scored and 1.67 conceded per match.
The clash between Parma and Udinese promises to be one of the most balanced of Serie A Matchday 13. Both teams have shown intermittent consistency over the first twelve rounds, alternating strong performances with less convincing ones at home and away. Such inconsistency makes it difficult to identify a clear favorite for victory.
Rather than focusing on the final outcome, it may be more useful to predict what to expect in terms of goals. In this sense, the feeling is that the match could offer few thrills, considering both teams have struggled in front of goal in recent weeks and seem particularly dependent on the plays of Pellegrino and Zaniolo.
In light of these elements, BetMines’ tips lean towards the Under 2.5 goals outcome, anticipating a low-scoring match with a maximum of two total goals.
PARMA (3-5-2): Corvi; Delprato, Troilo, Valenti; Britschgi, Bernabè, Keita, Sorensen, Valeri; Cutrone, Pellegrino. Coach: Cuesta
UDINESE (3-5-2): Okoye; Bertola, Kabasele, Solet; Zanoli, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Kamara; Davis, Zaniolo. Coach: Runjaic
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Parma
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
8
2
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1