The 25th round of the Eredivisie brings an intriguing clash as PEC Zwolle welcome Ajax to the Mac3Park Stadion on March 1, 2026. Both teams have shown inconsistency throughout the season, and this encounter offers a chance to regain momentum. PEC Zwolle will look to exploit home advantage, while Ajax aim to strengthen their position near the top of the table after a series of draws that have slowed their progress.

PEC Zwolle’s Recent Form and Key Stats

PEC Zwolle enter this fixture after a 1-1 draw against FC Utrecht on February 22, following defeats to SC Heerenveen and FC Volendam. Their recent record shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five matches, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the Eredivisie season, PEC have recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match.

Despite their inconsistency, the home side have shown attacking intent, having scored at least once in each of their last 18 matches in all competitions and in their last 16 Eredivisie fixtures. Matches involving PEC Zwolle tend to start lively, with over 0.5 goals scored before half-time in 24 of their last 26 league games. They have also led at the break in 8 of their last 13 home matches, suggesting that early goals could again be a feature of their play.

However, defensive fragility remains a concern. Conceding two or more goals per game on average has cost them valuable points, and facing one of the league’s most potent attacks will test their back line once again. PEC’s challenge will be to maintain composure and efficiency in front of goal while limiting Ajax’s offensive power.

Ajax’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Ajax travel to Zwolle after a 1-1 draw against NEC Nijmegen on February 21. The Amsterdam side have been difficult to beat but have struggled to turn dominance into victories, registering 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five outings. Their season record stands at 11 wins, 10 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.

Ajax’s matches are consistently high-scoring: over 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 40 games, including all of their last 30 Eredivisie fixtures. Away from home, they have scored in their last 20 league trips but have also conceded in each of those matches, underlining both their attacking strength and defensive vulnerability. In fact, both teams have scored in the last 12 Ajax away games in the Eredivisie, and over 2.5 goals have been produced in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures.

Ajax’s attacking rhythm often improves after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of 20 of their last 22 Eredivisie matches. They also tend to start strongly, having led at half-time in 9 of their last 11 league games. The key for Ajax will be to convert their offensive pressure into a convincing away performance, something they have struggled to achieve consistently this season.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

Historically, Ajax have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have won four and drawn one, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in Ajax’s favor on September 13, 2025. These numbers highlight the gap in quality and experience between the two sides.

From a tactical perspective, PEC Zwolle are expected to adopt a more attacking approach at home, hoping to capitalize on Ajax’s occasional defensive lapses. However, their open style could leave spaces for Ajax’s quick transitions and creative forwards to exploit. Ajax, on the other hand, will likely focus on controlling possession and pressing high to force errors from the home defense. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, another open and entertaining match seems likely.

• PEC Zwolle have scored in 18 consecutive matches.


• Ajax have scored in their last 15 Eredivisie games.


• Both teams scored in Ajax’s last 12 away league matches.


• Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 18 of Ajax’s last 20 away fixtures.


• PEC Zwolle have won only once in their last five games.

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction and Final Analysis

Both sides enter this match seeking stability after a run of draws and inconsistent performances. PEC Zwolle will rely on their attacking spirit and home support to challenge Ajax, but their defensive record raises doubts about their ability to contain the visitors. Ajax, despite their recent stalemates, possess superior quality and depth, and their attacking statistics suggest they can find the net multiple times in Zwolle.

Considering the trends from both teams — frequent goals, defensive vulnerabilities, and Ajax’s dominance in head-to-head encounters — this fixture promises goals and excitement. Ajax’s ability to score consistently, combined with PEC Zwolle’s tendency to concede, points toward a high-scoring affair where the visitors are likely to prevail.

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax prediction from BetMines: Ajax win (2) with 46% probability.