The Mac3Park Stadion will host a crucial Eredivisie clash on April 11 as PEC Zwolle face Excelsior in the 30th round of the season. Both sides are still fighting to secure their top-flight status, and with only a few games left, every point becomes vital. This encounter promises intensity and tension, as two teams struggling for consistency meet in a direct battle to move away from the relegation zone.

PEC Zwolle’s Recent Form and Key Stats

PEC Zwolle come into this fixture after a heavy 5-0 defeat against Go Ahead Eagles on April 5, a result that exposed their defensive fragility. Despite that setback, their recent record shows some resilience, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game during this period, reflecting a team that often struggles to convert chances while leaving gaps at the back.

Across the season, Zwolle’s Eredivisie record stands at 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. At home, however, they tend to start strongly — winning at half time in 7 of their last 10 home games. This early dominance could prove decisive against an opponent low on confidence. Their head-to-head record against Excelsior is slightly positive, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five meetings, including a 2-1 victory in December 2025.

Currently sitting 13th in the Eredivisie, PEC Zwolle know that a win here would create valuable breathing space above the relegation zone. Their main challenge remains maintaining defensive concentration for the full 90 minutes, as lapses have cost them points in several matches this campaign.

Excelsior’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Excelsior travel to Zwolle in poor form, having gone seven matches without a win. Their latest outing ended in a 0-2 defeat to NEC Nijmegen on April 4, further deepening their struggles. Over their last five games, they have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6. These numbers underline their lack of cutting edge in attack and vulnerability in defense.

In the league overall, Excelsior’s record stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Away from home, they have struggled to find the net, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 2 of their last 10 away matches. Their inability to score consistently on the road has been a major factor in their current 16th-place position, placing them in serious danger of relegation playoffs.

Despite their recent difficulties, Excelsior have shown flashes of competitiveness earlier in the season, but their current run of results suggests a team low on confidence. To get a positive result in Zwolle, they will need to rediscover their attacking rhythm and tighten up defensively, especially in the opening stages where they have often been punished.

PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Tactical Overview

This match brings together two sides with contrasting home and away dynamics. PEC Zwolle tend to perform better in front of their supporters, often controlling possession and creating chances early on. Their challenge lies in sustaining that intensity and converting dominance into goals. Meanwhile, Excelsior have been inconsistent on their travels, frequently conceding first and struggling to recover.

Given both teams’ defensive issues, an open game could unfold, with opportunities at both ends. Zwolle’s home advantage and stronger first-half performances might give them the upper hand, but Excelsior’s desperation for points could push them to take more risks, potentially leading to a high-tempo and unpredictable contest.

• PEC Zwolle average 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match this season.


• Excelsior average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.


• Head-to-head record: PEC Zwolle 3 wins, Excelsior 2 wins, average goals 1.8–1.4.


• Win probabilities — PEC Zwolle: 42%, Draw: 26%, Excelsior: 32%.


• BTTS (Both Teams To Score) — Yes: 53%, No: 47%.


• Over/Under 2.5 goals — Over: 50%, Under: 50%.

With both sides showing defensive weaknesses and a tendency to concede under pressure, the likelihood of both teams finding the net appears high. Their previous meeting ended 2-1, and a similar scoreline would not be surprising given their current form patterns.

PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction

Considering the statistical balance and recent performances, this fixture looks evenly matched. PEC Zwolle have the advantage of playing at home and often start games well, while Excelsior’s poor away form and lack of goals make them vulnerable. However, both teams have shown they can score, even in defeat, which suggests that the most probable scenario is a game where both sides hit the target.

PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.