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PEC Zwolle
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Heracles Almelo
Prediction published on May 1, 2026 1:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on May 1, 2026 1:04 PM
The 32nd round of the Eredivisie brings a crucial clash between PEC Zwolle and Heracles Almelo at the Mac3Park Stadion. While the home side are still fighting to avoid the relegation play-offs, the visitors have already been condemned to relegation and will play mainly for pride. This encounter promises intensity, as both teams have struggled defensively throughout the season, often producing high-scoring matches.
PEC Zwolle enter this fixture after a difficult run of results, failing to win in their last three matches. Heavy defeats against PSV (6-1) and Go Ahead Eagles (5-0) have exposed major defensive weaknesses, although a 2-2 draw with Excelsior showed some resilience. The team’s season record in the Eredivisie stands at 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match.
At home, Zwolle have shown flashes of strength, often starting games well. They have led at half time in 7 of their last 11 home matches, a sign that early momentum could be key. However, maintaining that advantage has been a challenge, as defensive lapses frequently undo their attacking efforts. The team’s recent form — 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in the last five games — highlights inconsistency, particularly at the back where they concede an average of 3 goals per match.
Despite their struggles, Zwolle’s attacking line has been capable of producing goals, especially in the opening stages of matches. Their record of 10 goals scored in the first 15 minutes this season underlines their ability to strike early. The challenge remains sustaining that intensity and preventing opponents from turning the game around once they fall behind.
Heracles Almelo travel to Zwolle in a desperate situation, already relegated and without a win in their last ten matches. Their most recent result, a 0-2 defeat to FC Volendam, further extended a damaging run that has seen them lose confidence and defensive structure. Over their last five games, Heracles have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, scoring just 0.4 goals per match while conceding 2.8.
Across the season, Heracles’ record in the Eredivisie stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 22 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game. Their away form has been particularly poor, with a series of defensive collapses. In fact, at least one goal has been conceded in each of their last 20 away matches, and they have lost at half time in their last 10 away fixtures. Matches involving Heracles tend to be open and high-scoring: Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in 34 of their last 36 Eredivisie games, while Over 3.5 goals have been seen in each of their last six away outings.
Even though the team has little left to play for, Heracles will aim to end the season with dignity. Their main issue has been defensive discipline, as they often concede early and struggle to recover. The lack of composure and organization at the back has made them one of the most vulnerable sides in the league.
This fixture brings together two sides in poor form but with contrasting motivations. PEC Zwolle still have something to fight for, as they look to secure their Eredivisie status, while Heracles Almelo are already preparing for life in the lower division. The home side’s attacking intent, combined with Heracles’ defensive fragility, suggests that this could be another goal-filled encounter.
Historically, matches between these two teams have produced plenty of goals. The last head-to-head ended in a remarkable 8-2 victory earlier in the season, and the overall record shows Zwolle averaging 2.2 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per meeting. With both defenses struggling, it would not be surprising to see another open contest where both teams find the net.
Heracles’ tendency to concede in both halves and Zwolle’s strong starts at home point toward a match that could see early action and sustained attacking exchanges. The visitors’ poor away record — failing to keep a clean sheet in 23 of their last 24 Eredivisie matches — further supports the expectation of goals.
Based on the statistical trends and current form, the BetMines prediction for this Eredivisie clash is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% probability. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses and a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games, making this outcome the most likely scenario for Saturday’s encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
PEC Zwolle
Heracles Almelo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1