Tools
Pergolettese
0 - 0
FT
Trento Calcio 1921
Prediction published on Sep 24, 2026 12:35 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Sep 24, 2026 12:35 PM
Pergolettese host Trento Calcio 1921 on September 26, 2026, in an intriguing Serie C: Girone A fixture. The match is scheduled for 12:30 local time at the Stadio Giuseppe Voltini in Crema. The two teams enter the contest from very different positions: Pergolettese are 15th after a difficult but defensively disciplined opening to the season, while unbeaten Trento sit third and are attempting to maintain contact with the leading sides. The visitors arrive after an emphatic victory, but the home team's low-scoring record suggests that this may be a much tighter contest than Trento's latest result would indicate.
Pergolettese have recorded one win, three draws and two defeats in their first six league matches. Their average of 0.2 goals scored per game highlights clear attacking difficulties, although an average of only 0.5 goals conceded shows how competitive they have remained defensively.
The hosts have collected one victory, three draws and one defeat across their latest five matches, scoring and conceding an average of 0.2 goals per game during that sequence. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-0 draw against Lecco on September 20. It was another result consistent with a season in which Pergolettese have often kept matches close while struggling to produce goals of their own.
The wider trends reinforce the expectation of a controlled encounter. Pergolettese's last two Serie C: Girone A matches both finished with under 0.5 total goals, while 22 of their previous 23 matches have stayed below 3.5 goals. The same under 3.5 pattern has occurred in 21 of their last 22 league fixtures. Those numbers underline how rarely their games develop into open, high-scoring contests.
Corner statistics point in a similar direction regarding the rhythm of their matches. Fewer than 10.5 corners have been taken in each of Pergolettese's last 23 league games and in 23 of their last 24 fixtures overall. In addition, 21 of their previous 23 Serie C: Girone A matches have produced under 9.5 corners. Although these figures do not determine the result, they add to the picture of a side regularly involved in restrained matches.
Trento Calcio 1921 approach this away assignment in third place and remain unbeaten in the league. Their season record stands at three wins and three draws, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match. Compared with the hosts, Trento have provided considerably more attacking output without sacrificing defensive stability.
The visitors produced their strongest recent statement on September 21, defeating Pro Vercelli 4-0. That commanding result offered a clear sign of improvement after a start that had not fully matched the expectations surrounding the team. Across their last five matches, Trento have won twice, drawn twice and lost once, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
The 4-0 victory demonstrates that Trento are capable of punishing opponents when opportunities appear, but their overall numbers also suggest balance rather than constant attacking excess. They have allowed only half a goal per league match on average, matching Pergolettese's season defensive average. Three of Trento's last ten league fixtures have ended with under 0.5 total goals, while two of their previous ten away league matches have also contained no goals.
Trento therefore travel with several reasons for confidence. They are higher in the standings, have not yet lost in the competition and possess the stronger scoring average. Even so, Pergolettese's ability to limit opponents means the visitors may need patience rather than expecting a repeat of the four-goal performance against Pro Vercelli.
The available statistics make Trento Calcio 1921 the more likely winners, with a 51% victory probability compared with 22% for Pergolettese and 27% for the draw. However, the home side have lost only two of their six league matches, so the difference in attacking production does not automatically point to a straightforward away success.
Pergolettese's main challenge is finding a way to improve an average of 0.2 goals per league game. They face a Trento side conceding only 0.5 per match, which could make clear chances particularly valuable. At the other end, the hosts' own defensive average offers them a platform from which to frustrate an opponent that will arrive encouraged by its latest result.
The head-to-head record also suggests a competitive matchup. Across the summarized meetings, Pergolettese have one win, Trento have one win and three games have ended level. Pergolettese have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in those encounters. The most recent meeting, played on February 7, 2026, ended in a 2-1 Trento victory.
From a goals perspective, the statistical lean is toward a restrained game. The probability of under 2.5 goals is 56%, compared with 44% for over 2.5, while both teams not scoring is rated at 52%. Pergolettese's repeated low totals, combined with both clubs conceding an average of only 0.5 league goals per match, provide the clearest basis for expecting limited scoring.
Trento's superior league position, unbeaten season record and stronger attack give the visitors an advantage, but the hosts have repeatedly shown that their matches can remain finely balanced. If Pergolettese once again restrict space and keep the score level for a prolonged period, Trento may have to work carefully for openings. Overall, the contrast between the visitors' greater attacking threat and the home side's defensive resistance points toward a close Serie C contest with few goals.
Pergolettese vs Trento Calcio 1921 prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pergolettese
Trento Calcio 1921
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
4
6
2
8
1.5
6
4
5
5
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0