The upcoming clash between Pergolettese and Union Brescia promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in Serie C’s Group A. The stakes are high for both sides: the visitors are battling to consolidate their second place in the standings, while the hosts are fighting to escape the relegation zone. Scheduled for Monday, February 16, at the Giuseppe Voltini Stadium in Crema, this match could have a significant impact on both ends of the table.

Pergolettese’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Pergolettese approach this encounter with renewed confidence after a 1-2 away victory against Dolomiti Bellunesi on February 11. That result ended a mixed run of performances, as their last five matches have produced two wins, two draws, and one defeat. During this period, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing some improvement in attack compared to their season average of 0.9 goals per match.

Despite these positive signs, the home side remain in a precarious position, sitting 17th in the Serie C: Girone A standings with a record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses. Their defensive fragility continues to be a concern, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game. Moreover, they have struggled to start matches strongly, having lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 home fixtures. To turn things around, Pergolettese will need to maintain the attacking momentum shown in their recent win and find consistency in front of their supporters.

• Ranking: 17th in Serie C: Girone A


• Season record: 5W – 8D – 13L


• Average goals scored: 0.9 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Lost at half time in 6 of last 10 home matches


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 2D – 1L

Union Brescia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Union Brescia continue to impress in their pursuit of promotion, currently sitting second in the table with 14 wins, 8 draws, and just 4 defeats. Their latest outing ended in a convincing 3-1 victory over Virtus Verona on February 11, confirming their strong form and attacking efficiency. Over their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game — a testament to their defensive solidity.

One of the most remarkable aspects of Union Brescia’s campaign has been their consistency away from home. They have drawn at half time in 10 of their last 11 away matches and have kept most games tight, with under 3.5 total goals in 21 of their last 22 league fixtures. This disciplined approach has made them difficult to beat, even when playing on the road. Their ability to control the tempo and limit opponents’ chances has been key to maintaining their position near the top of the standings.

• Ranking: 2nd in Serie C: Girone A


• Season record: 14W – 8D – 4L


• Average goals scored: 1.4 | Average conceded: 0.6


• Under 3.5 goals in 21 of last 22 matches


• Drawn at half time in 10 of last 11 away matches

Pergolettese vs Union Brescia Analysis and Prediction

The contrast between the two teams could not be clearer. Pergolettese are desperate for points to climb out of the relegation zone, while Union Brescia are determined to stay ahead of their closest rivals in the race for promotion. The hosts will rely on their recent attacking improvement, but their defensive lapses remain a major concern, especially against a side as organized and efficient as Union Brescia.

Historically, this fixture has been tight — the last meeting ended 0-0 on October 4, 2025 — and the visitors’ recent trend of low-scoring away matches suggests another cautious affair. However, Union Brescia’s superior quality and consistency make them the clear favorites to take all three points. Their defensive discipline and ability to capitalize on key moments could prove decisive once again.

According to the latest probabilities, the chances of a Pergolettese win stand at 18%, a draw at 27%, and a Union Brescia win at 55%. The data also points toward a low-scoring match, with Under 2.5 goals favored at 64% probability and Both Teams To Score – No at 60%.

Pergolettese vs Union Brescia prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is an Away Win (2) with a probability of 55%.