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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 11:02 AM by Dario in Australia - A-League Men | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 11:02 AM
The upcoming A-League clash between Perth Glory and Central Coast Mariners promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides looking to climb away from the lower end of the table. Both teams have endured inconsistent campaigns so far, and this meeting at HBF Park could prove crucial in shaping their momentum for the rest of the season. Perth Glory currently sit 10th in the standings, just one place above the Mariners, who occupy 11th after 11 rounds of action. With both sides showing flashes of attacking potential but struggling for defensive solidity, fans can expect an open and competitive encounter.
Perth Glory began 2026 with a narrow 3-2 defeat against Melbourne Victory, a result that summed up their recent struggles. Despite a spirited late push in that match, the Glory have now lost three of their last four games and failed to score in two of them. This downturn in form contrasts sharply with their earlier run of three consecutive wins between late November and early December, which had briefly lifted spirits among their supporters.
At home, the situation has been particularly concerning. The Glory have collected only four points from six matches at HBF Park, ranking among the weakest home records in the league. Their season statistics underline the inconsistency: four wins, one draw, and six defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. In their last five outings, they have managed two victories and three losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. These numbers suggest that while they can find the net, defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points.
Given their recent home struggles and the memory of a 0-1 defeat to the Mariners earlier in the season, Perth Glory will be eager to deliver a more disciplined performance in front of their fans.
Central Coast Mariners started the New Year in emphatic fashion, thrashing Adelaide United 4-0 away from home. That result was a much-needed boost after a difficult end to 2025, during which they went six matches without a win (one draw and five defeats), conceding at least two goals in each of those losses. The victory in Adelaide not only restored confidence but also showcased their attacking potential when given space to operate.
On the road, the Mariners have been unpredictable. They have earned six points from a possible fifteen, winning twice and losing four times. Their season record stands at three wins, two draws, and six defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. In their last five fixtures, they have recorded one win and four losses, scoring 1.6 goals per game but allowing 1.8 on average. These figures highlight a team capable of scoring but often undone by defensive fragility.
Despite their inconsistency, the Mariners can take encouragement from their recent head-to-head record against Perth Glory. They have won three and drawn two of the last five meetings, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding only 0.8. Their 1-0 victory at HBF Park in November will serve as a reminder that they can perform well in this fixture, even away from home.
This matchup brings together two sides with similar weaknesses and ambitions. Perth Glory will look to use home advantage to bounce back from recent defeats, but their defensive record remains a concern. The Central Coast Mariners, on the other hand, arrive buoyed by a big win but still searching for consistency after a poor run of results late last year. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, and their attacking numbers suggest that chances will come at both ends.
Historically, this fixture has produced tight contests, but the current form of both sides points toward an open game. The Mariners’ ability to score freely, combined with Perth’s need to respond in front of their supporters, could lead to a high-tempo encounter with goals on both sides. Given that both teams have averaged over one goal per match this season and have defensive vulnerabilities, a goal-filled contest seems likely.
Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 64% probability.
With both sides showing attacking intent but lacking defensive stability, the data strongly supports the likelihood of goals at both ends. The Mariners’ recent 4-0 win and Perth’s home scoring record suggest that neither defense will keep a clean sheet. Expect an entertaining match where both teams find the net.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Perth Glory
Central Coast Mariners
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2