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Perugia
6:30 PM
October 23, 2026
Pescara
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 7:05 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 7:05 PM
Perugia host Pescara at Stadio Renato Curi on October 23, 2026, in a Serie C: Girone B fixture between two closely placed sides. Perugia sit seventh and Pescara eighth, with both teams arriving after victories on October 18. Their latest results, however, tell different stories: Perugia beat Campobasso 5-1, while Pescara defeated Ostia Mare Lidocalcio 2-0. The home side have scored freely in their recent matches, whereas the visitors have conceded less often. With the teams separated by one position and their most recent head-to-head ending goalless, this Perugia vs Pescara preview turns on whether Perugia's attacking form can break down a side with a tighter recent defensive record.
Perugia approach the match after an emphatic 5-1 win over Campobasso on October 18. It was a striking result ahead of a fixture in which chances could be harder to come by: Perugia's previous meeting with Pescara finished 0-0. The Campobasso victory nevertheless gives the hosts a clear attacking reference point as they prepare to face the team immediately below them in the Girone B standings.
Across their last five matches, Perugia have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.2 per game. That record highlights both their capacity to find the net and the fact that those five fixtures have not produced a draw. Their season figures provide a broader view: five wins, one draw and four losses in Serie C: Girone B, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
The contrast between those recent and season-long numbers is important. Perugia's scoring average has been higher over the last five matches than across the campaign, but their season average for goals conceded is also higher than their scoring average. Against Pescara, the question is not only whether the hosts can carry forward the finishing shown at Campobasso. They must also account for an opponent that has conceded an average of just 0.6 goals in its own last five games.
Pescara also won on October 18, beating Ostia Mare Lidocalcio 2-0. Their last five matches have yielded three wins, one draw and one defeat, leaving them with one fewer loss than Perugia over the same span. Pescara have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in those five games. The recent defensive figure is especially relevant before a trip to face a Perugia side coming off a five-goal performance.
Over the Serie C: Girone B season, Pescara's record stands at four wins, three draws and three losses. They have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their recent scoring average is close to that season figure, while their recent goals-conceded average is notably lower. Those numbers support the picture of a team that has been harder to score against lately without suggesting that every Pescara match must be low-scoring.
The 2-0 result against Ostia Mare Lidocalcio shows that Pescara can pair a clean sheet with enough goals to win. The challenge against Perugia is different: the hosts have scored 1.8 goals per match across their last five fixtures. Pescara's ability to keep that figure down may be central to the outcome, particularly if this match resembles the sides' goalless meeting on January 26, 2025, more than Perugia's latest outing.
The recent head-to-head record adds another layer to this fixture. The supplied summary gives Perugia two wins, three draws and no defeats against Pescara, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Their last meeting ended 0-0 on January 26, 2025. That record has favored Perugia, but it also points to meetings in which goals have been limited. The hosts' five-goal win at Campobasso makes the current match difficult to judge solely by that earlier stalemate.
The win probabilities further complicate a straightforward result call: Perugia are at 28%, the draw at 28% and Pescara at 44%. Pescara have the highest individual figure despite sitting one place below Perugia, while the hosts' unbeaten head-to-head summary provides a counterpoint. Neither team's latest victory settles how this meeting will unfold, especially given the difference between Perugia's recent scoring and Pescara's recent defensive numbers.
The goals figures indicate a narrow lean rather than a certainty. Under 2.5 goals is at 53%, compared with 47% for Over 2.5. Perugia's 5-1 win and 1.8-goal recent scoring average argue against overlooking their attacking threat. On the other side of the balance are Pescara's 0.6-goal recent conceded average, the 0-0 last meeting and the low scoring averages in the head-to-head summary. If Pescara maintain their recent defensive level, this could be a more contained contest than Perugia's latest result suggests.
Perugia vs Pescara prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Perugia
Pescara
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1