Perugia welcome Reggiana to the Stadio Renato Curi on September 27, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 15:30 local time. The fixture is part of the seventh round of Serie C: Girone B and brings together two teams experiencing sharply contrasting starts to the season. Perugia enter the contest in 14th place after three successive defeats, while third-placed Reggiana remain unbeaten after six matches. The hosts urgently need to halt their decline, but they face a visiting side with four wins and two draws so far. Recent performances, attacking output and defensive numbers all give Reggiana reasons for confidence, although Perugia did win the most recent recorded head-to-head meeting 3-1 in 2015.

Perugia Recent Form and Key Statistics

Perugia have struggled to produce positive results in recent weeks. Their latest setback was a 2-0 defeat against Grosseto on September 20, extending their losing sequence to three matches. Across those three defeats, the team failed to score and conceded eight goals, highlighting problems at both ends of the pitch.

The broader five-match record offers a similar picture: one victory, one draw and three defeats. During that period, Perugia averaged only 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 2.2. Their season statistics are only slightly better defensively, with two wins, one draw and three losses accompanied by averages of 0.8 goals for and 1.8 against.

The squad includes players with experience from different competitive backgrounds. Pelle Van Amersfoort, for example, has previously played in the Eredivisie, while other members of the group have Serie B experience. However, the available quality has not yet translated into consistent performances, with the necessary understanding between the players still proving difficult to establish.

Returning home provides Perugia with an opportunity to respond, but recent results leave little margin for error. Scoring first could be especially important after three consecutive matches without a goal. If the hosts again struggle to create or convert opportunities, they will risk allowing an in-form opponent to control the contest.

Reggiana Recent Form and Key Statistics

Reggiana arrive in much stronger condition. They defeated Latina 1-0 on September 20 and are still unbeaten in Serie C: Girone B, having registered four wins and two draws. That return places them third in the standings and supports their status as one of the teams considered capable of competing for the championship.

The visitors have won four of their last five matches, drawing the other. Their attacking average over that run stands at an impressive 2.2 goals per game, while they have conceded only 0.8. Across the full league campaign, Reggiana are averaging 2.0 goals scored and the same 0.8 goals conceded per fixture. Those figures show a clear balance between regular production in attack and dependable defensive work.

Sipos has been the standout individual in Reggiana's start. The Croatian striker, who reached double figures for Lecco last season, leads the scoring chart with seven goals. His contribution gives the visitors a proven source of goals at a time when Perugia are conceding heavily and finding it difficult to score themselves.

Reggiana have also retained several players who featured with the club in Serie B, and they have already faced a number of demanding opponents. Their unbeaten six-game record suggests they have handled those challenges effectively. The narrow win over Latina also demonstrated that they can take maximum points without requiring a high-scoring match.

Perugia vs Reggiana Match Analysis

The statistical comparison points toward Reggiana. Perugia's last five matches have produced three defeats and an average of 2.2 goals conceded, whereas the visitors have collected four wins and one draw while scoring 2.2 per game. Season-long numbers reinforce that contrast: Reggiana have twice Perugia's average scoring rate, with 2.0 goals per match compared with 0.8.

There is also a significant defensive difference. Perugia have conceded an average of 1.8 goals this season, while Reggiana's average is only 0.8. The hosts' run of three matches without scoring therefore presents a difficult combination against an opponent that has remained unbeaten and has just recorded a 1-0 victory.

• Perugia: two wins, one draw and three defeats this season.
• Reggiana: four wins, two draws and no defeats this season.
• Recent form: Perugia have lost three of their last five, while Reggiana have won four and drawn one.
• Scoring averages: Perugia 0.8 goals per game, Reggiana 2.0.
• Win probabilities: Perugia 32%, draw 30%, Reggiana 38%.

The goal-related probabilities indicate that a controlled contest remains possible. Under 2.5 goals carries a 58% probability, while Both Teams To Score (No) is rated at 52%. Those percentages are consistent with Perugia's recent scoring drought and Reggiana's latest 1-0 result. At the same time, Reggiana's stronger attacking average means the visitors have the tools to punish any continuation of the defensive issues that have affected the home side.

The only supplied head-to-head result went in Perugia's favor, with a 3-1 victory on August 9, 2015. However, the current comparison is defined by the teams' respective 2026 league records. Perugia need a substantial improvement from their latest performances, while Reggiana enter the match with better form, stronger scoring numbers and an unbeaten season record. With the away side also holding the highest win probability at 38%, a Reggiana victory is the conclusion most closely aligned with the available evidence.

Perugia vs Reggiana prediction from BetMines: Reggiana win (2) with 38% probability.