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Prediction published on Nov 23, 2025 9:02 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Nov 23, 2025 9:02 AM
The Serie C clash between Perugia and Vis Pesaro will take place on Monday, November 24, at 20:30 at the Stadio Renato Curi. It is a crucial fixture for the home side, who are struggling near the bottom of the table and desperately need a result to turn their season around. The visitors, on the other hand, are enjoying a strong campaign and will arrive in Umbria full of confidence after an impressive unbeaten run.
Perugia currently sit 18th in the Serie C Girone B standings, a position that reflects their difficult start to the season. The team has collected just one win in 14 league matches, alongside six draws and seven defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Sassari Torres on November 15, a result that extended their winless streak but at least showed some resilience. Over their last five matches, the Grifoni have recorded one win, three draws, and one loss, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
At home, the Umbrian side has struggled to find consistency but remains competitive in the early stages of matches. They have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 home games in Serie C, demonstrating a certain level of defensive organization before the break. However, their attacking output has been modest, with Under 1.5 goals at half time recorded in each of their last ten home fixtures. The Stadio Curi has also been the stage for low-scoring encounters, with Under 3.5 goals in 19 of their last 20 home matches.
Despite their poor league position, Perugia’s performances have not been entirely devoid of positives. The team’s defensive structure has improved slightly, and the return of experienced figures in the club’s management, such as Walter Novellino and Riccardo Gaucci, aims to restore stability and identity. Still, the pressure is mounting, and this match could prove pivotal in their fight to climb out of the relegation zone.
Vis Pesaro approach this fixture in excellent form, sitting 8th in the Serie C Girone B table and unbeaten in their last eight league matches. Their latest victory came on November 15, when they defeated Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC 2-1. Over their last five games, the Marchigiani have collected three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding just 0.4. This solid defensive record has been the foundation of their rise up the standings.
Vis Pesaro’s away form has also been impressive. They have avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 away matches and drawn the first half in 12 of their last 14 trips. This consistency reflects a disciplined and cautious approach, often prioritizing defensive solidity before pushing forward in the second half. Their matches tend to be tight affairs, with Under 0.5 goals in the first half of two of their last ten away games, and Under 3.5 goals in the vast majority of their fixtures overall.
Under the guidance of coach Giuseppe Galderisi, Vis Pesaro have developed a balanced style of play, combining compact defending with quick transitions. Their ability to manage games and maintain composure under pressure has been key to their recent success. With confidence high and momentum on their side, they will look to extend their unbeaten streak and consolidate their position in the top half of the table.
This encounter promises to be a tense and tactical battle between two sides with contrasting objectives. Perugia are desperate for points to escape the relegation zone, while Vis Pesaro aim to continue their positive run and strengthen their playoff ambitions. Historically, meetings between these teams have been low-scoring, with the last head-to-head ending 0-1 in favor of Vis Pesaro on February 7, 2025. Across their last five meetings, Perugia have managed just one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Given both teams’ recent trends, another cautious and closely contested match is expected. Perugia’s home fixtures have consistently produced few goals, while Vis Pesaro’s disciplined defense makes them difficult to break down. The hosts will rely on their home crowd and the urgency of their situation to push forward, but they must be careful not to leave spaces for Vis Pesaro’s counterattacks. The visitors, meanwhile, will likely adopt a pragmatic approach, focusing on maintaining their defensive shape and exploiting any mistakes from the Grifoni.
All signs point toward a balanced game with limited scoring opportunities. Both sides have shown a tendency toward low-scoring outcomes, and the statistics strongly suggest that this trend will continue at the Stadio Curi. The match could hinge on a single moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse, but overall, it is expected to be a tight contest defined by tactical discipline rather than attacking flair.
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Perugia
Vis Pesaro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0