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Pescara
7:00 PM
September 16, 2026
Gubbio
Prediction published on Sep 14, 2026 7:11 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Sep 14, 2026 7:11 PM
Pescara host Gubbio on September 16, 2026, in an important Serie C: Girone B fixture. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 local time at the Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia. The hosts enter the match under considerable pressure after suffering a 2-1 defeat against Atalanta II on September 12. That setback intensified the tension surrounding Pescara and increased the need for an immediate response from Buscé and his team. Gubbio arrive in a more positive mood after beating Latina 3-1 on the same date. The visitors have also recorded three consecutive victories across their latest fixtures, although one of those successes came in the Coppa Italia for the division. While Pescara are considered the more likely winners, Gubbio's recent results suggest that this Serie C match could be far from straightforward.
Pescara are 15th in Serie C: Girone B after collecting one win, one draw and two defeats in their league campaign. They have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match, numbers that underline the difficulties experienced during the opening part of the season. Their latest result was a 2-1 loss away to Atalanta II, a defeat described as both unexpected and deserved.
The broader five-match sequence offers further evidence of Pescara's inconsistent form. Across those games, the home side have managed one victory and one draw while losing three times. They scored an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceded 1.8. The difference between those figures highlights the challenge facing Pescara: they need to improve defensively without losing the attacking output required to secure all three points.
This home fixture has therefore assumed particular importance. The expectations surrounding the club do not align with its difficult start, and the pressure is firmly on Pescara to produce a positive performance. The original match context presents victory as the result most capable of restoring calm. Playing at the Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia gives the hosts an opportunity to react immediately, but it also raises the level of expectation ahead of a match in which they are favored.
Gubbio sit ninth in Serie C: Girone B, six places above their opponents. Their league record stands at two wins and two defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per fixture. The absence of a draw in those four league results points to a run in which their matches have produced decisive outcomes.
The visitors defeated Latina 3-1 on September 12 and have won three consecutive games in all competitions, including one victory in the divisional cup. Across their last five matches, Gubbio have registered three wins and two defeats. Their attacking average during that period is an impressive 2.6 goals per game, although they have also conceded 1.6 on average. That recent scoring rate provides a clear reason why Pescara cannot treat the visitors lightly.
Gubbio's match patterns also contain several notable half-time and second-half trends. At least one team failed to score before the interval in 29 of Gubbio's last 30 matches. Meanwhile, a goal was scored after half-time in 19 of their previous 21 fixtures. The visitors have also been leading at the break in six of their last ten away matches. These statistics suggest that the timing of the opening goal could have a major influence on the contest.
The contrast between expectation and recent form defines this Pescara vs Gubbio preview. Pescara have the stronger match-win probability at 58%, compared with 25% for the draw and 17% for a Gubbio victory. However, the hosts have lost three of their last five matches, while Gubbio arrive after three successive wins across all competitions. The figures favor Pescara, but the recent momentum belongs to the visitors.
The previous meeting ended in a 2-0 result on April 13, 2025. In the recorded head-to-head summary from Pescara's perspective, there have been three wins, no draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The lack of draws in that sequence is another indication that meetings between these sides have tended to produce a winner.
Goal-market probabilities are more balanced. Both teams to score is assessed at 48% for Yes and 52% for No, while Under 2.5 goals has a 54% probability compared with 46% for Over 2.5. Those percentages provide only a narrow preference for a lower-scoring match. At the same time, both teams have conceded an average of two goals per league fixture this season, while Gubbio's last-five attacking average stands at 2.6.
Pescara must manage the pressure surrounding the fixture and avoid allowing their recent defeat to affect their approach. Gubbio, by contrast, can draw confidence from their latest run and their 3-1 win over Latina. Nevertheless, the available probabilities place the home side in the clearest position among the three match-result options. With Pescara needing a response and holding a 58% win probability, a home victory is the most coherent conclusion to the statistical and contextual analysis.
Pescara vs Gubbio prediction from BetMines: Pescara win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pescara
Gubbio
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2