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Pianese vs Sambenedettese Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie C: Girone B 21-09-2026

Pianese

6:30 PM

September 21, 2026

Sambenedettese

Gewiss Stadium
Matteo Dini
broken clouds °C

Prediction published on Sep 19, 2026 6:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Sep 19, 2026 6:33 PM

Pianese host Sambenedettese on September 21, 2026, at 18:30 in an important Serie C: Girone B fixture between two teams still searching for their first league victory of the season. Pianese enter the match in 18th place with two points, while Sambenedettese sit 19th with one point. With only a single point separating the sides after five games, the result could provide a much-needed lift following a difficult opening period. Pianese have collected two draws and suffered three defeats, whereas the visitors have drawn once and lost four times. Their respective struggles make this a closely balanced contest, but the teams have reached this point in different ways: the hosts have produced very little in front of goal but remain unbeaten at home, while Sambenedettese have scored more regularly and conceded at a considerably higher rate.

Pianese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Pianese are yet to win after five Serie C: Girone B matches, recording two draws and three defeats. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 loss against Sassari Torres on September 16. Across the last five games, Pianese have averaged only 0.2 goals scored per match while conceding an average of 1.0. Those figures underline their main problem at the start of the season: although they have generally limited the damage at the other end, their attacking return has not been enough to turn tight matches in their favor.

The home record offers Pianese some encouragement. They are unbeaten in their two home fixtures so far, with both games finishing 0-0. That sequence is also reflected in the wider statistics, as under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in their last two home matches and in each of their last three home games in Serie C: Girone B. While those numbers highlight the hosts’ lack of scoring output, they also show that opponents have found it difficult to break them down in these home encounters.

First-half patterns further reinforce the expectation of a cautious start. Pianese’s last 10 home matches have all produced under 1.5 first-half goals, while the same outcome has occurred in 18 of their last 20 matches overall. They have also avoided going into half-time behind in 18 of their last 20 home games. After three defeats in five league fixtures, a reaction is required, but their existing home trends suggest that remaining competitive and keeping the score under control may again be central to their approach.

Sambenedettese Recent Form and Key Statistics

Sambenedettese travel to this fixture with one point from five league games. Their record consists of one draw and four defeats, leaving them one point behind Pianese. They lost 3-2 against Atalanta II on September 16, a result that continued their difficult start despite scoring twice. Over their last five matches, the visitors have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Compared with Pianese, Sambenedettese have shown more attacking production, but their defensive record has been much less secure.

The defeat to Atalanta II was followed by an openly negative reaction from the home support, with the players loudly jeered after the final whistle. The pressure around the team has consequently increased. Boscaglia dismissed talk of a possible resignation, but the need for an improved result remains clear. Sambenedettese are still waiting for their first victory, and four losses from their opening five matches leave little room for further setbacks.

The visitors’ numbers create an interesting contrast with Pianese’s home statistics. Sambenedettese have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, yet under 0.5 total goals have still occurred in two of their last 10 away games in Serie C: Girone B. In the broader league sample, five of their last 22 matches have ended without a goal. Their most recent game demonstrated that they can contribute in attack, but an average of two goals conceded per fixture has prevented that output from producing positive results.

Pianese vs Sambenedettese Match Analysis

This fixture brings together the league’s 18th- and 19th-placed teams, neither of whom have registered a win. The available result probabilities also indicate a competitive matchup: Pianese are assigned a 37% chance of victory, the draw stands at 33%, and Sambenedettese have a 30% chance. The home side therefore hold only a narrow advantage, making the outright result less clear than the goals markets.

The strongest trend concerns the expected number of goals. The probability of under 2.5 goals is 65%, compared with 35% for over 2.5. There is also a 55% probability that both teams will not score. Pianese’s season average of 0.2 goals scored, together with consecutive 0-0 home results, provides substantial support for a restrained contest. Their five league matches have produced only two points, but their home fixtures have at least shown an ability to avoid defeat and prevent the opposition from scoring.

Sambenedettese’s figures are more open, particularly after the 3-2 defeat to Atalanta II, but the visitors arrive under pressure following four losses. When a positive result is urgently needed, avoiding another defeat can become as important as forcing the game. That context, combined with Pianese’s low-scoring home pattern, could reduce the likelihood of a free-flowing encounter despite Sambenedettese’s higher scoring and conceding averages.

The head-to-head information gives Pianese a positive overall record in this matchup, with one win, one draw and no defeats, alongside averages of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. However, the most recent meeting ended 2-0 on January 24, 2026. The present evidence still points most strongly toward a game decided by limited attacking opportunities, with Pianese’s home resistance set against a Sambenedettese side seeking to stabilize after a poor start.

Pianese vs Sambenedettese prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 65% probability.

Pianese vs Sambenedettese - Predictions

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Pianese vs Sambenedettese: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Pianese

Sambenedettese

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

80%

8

20%

2

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Pianese and Sambenedettese in Serie C: Girone B

Girone B - Ranking

Team

18

Pianese

5

0

2

3

1:5

2

0.4

L
D
L
D
L
19

Sambenedettese

5

0

1

4

6:10

1

0.2

D
L
L
L
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Possible Promotion Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Pianese vs Sambenedettese: Frequently asked questions

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When will Pianese vs Sambenedettese be played?
The Serie C: Girone B match between Pianese and Sambenedettese will be played on September 21, 2026 at 18:30.
Where will Pianese vs Sambenedettese be played?
The match between Pianese and Sambenedettese will be played at Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo - Italy
Who will referee Pianese vs Sambenedettese?
The referee for the match will be Matteo Dini.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Pianese vs Sambenedettese in the Serie C: Girone B?
The odds are: Pianese to win 2.30, draw 3.00, Sambenedettese to win 2.87.
What are the betting odds for Pianese vs Sambenedettese for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie C: Girone B?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.37 and Under 2.5 at 1.53.
Will both Pianese and Sambenedettese score in the Serie C: Girone B?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.10, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.66.
What is the most likely correct score for Pianese vs Sambenedettese in the Serie C: Girone B?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Pianese and Sambenedettese?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches between Pianese and Sambenedettese, Pianese won 1 times, Sambenedettese won 0, and 1 ended in a draw.

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