The 25th round of the 2025/26 Serie A season opens with a Friday night clash between Pisa and AC Milan at the Cetilar Arena. The two sides sit at opposite ends of the table, separated by a massive 35 points — Pisa in 19th place and Milan in 2nd. The match is scheduled for February 13, 2026, and promises to be a crucial encounter for both teams, albeit for very different reasons. While Pisa are fighting to keep their survival hopes alive, Milan continue their pursuit of the league leaders in the title race.

Pisa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Pisa enter this fixture in a dire situation, having collected just one win all season. Their campaign has been defined by a string of draws and defeats, with 12 stalemates and 11 losses in 24 matches. The goalless draw against Hellas Verona last week extended their winless run to 13 games, and they remain six points adrift of safety. The team’s inability to convert chances has been a recurring issue, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per match while conceding 1.7 on average.

At home, Pisa’s struggles are even more evident. They have failed to win in their last six home games, losing five and drawing one. In fact, they have not celebrated a home victory since early autumn. The lack of attacking efficiency has been a major concern, with only three goals scored at the Cetilar Arena this season. January signing Rafiu Durosinmi has been a rare bright spot, contributing to two of those goals, while Stefano Moreo remains the team’s top scorer with five goals overall.

In terms of consistency, Pisa have failed to lead at half time in 23 of their last 24 league matches, underlining their slow starts and lack of control in the early stages of games. Their defensive frailties have also been exposed repeatedly, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last five outings. With several players unavailable — including Raul Albiol, Daniel Denoon, and Isak Vural — and goalkeeper Adrian Semper doubtful, new coach Oscar Hiljemark faces a monumental challenge to inspire a turnaround.

AC Milan’s Recent Form and Key Stats

AC Milan arrive in Tuscany in excellent form and full of confidence. Since their opening-day defeat to Cremonese, the Rossoneri have gone unbeaten in 22 consecutive Serie A matches — the longest active streak across Europe’s top five leagues. Their recent 3-0 victory over Bologna showcased their attacking depth and defensive solidity, with goals from Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Christopher Nkunku, and Adrien Rabiot.

Under Massimiliano Allegri, Milan have combined tactical discipline with attacking flair. They boast the third-best attack and third-best defense in the league, averaging 1.7 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match. Away from home, they remain unbeaten, collecting seven wins and five draws from twelve trips — a testament to their consistency and resilience. Milan have also scored in each of their last 17 Serie A matches, with at least one goal in the second half in all of their last 13 league outings.

In terms of squad news, Christian Pulisic is expected to return after a short layoff, while Alexis Saelemaekers could also be available if he overcomes a minor muscle issue. The only confirmed absentee is Santiago Gimenez. With a week of rest behind them, Milan are expected to field a strong lineup, featuring a mix of creativity and physical presence in attack. The team’s recent form — three wins and two draws in their last five games — keeps them firmly in the title race, eight points behind leaders Inter but with a game in hand.

Pisa vs AC Milan Analysis and Prediction

This fixture pits one of Serie A’s weakest attacks against one of its most balanced sides. Pisa’s inability to score regularly and their defensive lapses make them clear underdogs. Milan, on the other hand, have shown remarkable consistency, both home and away, and their unbeaten run suggests they will approach this match with confidence and control. The previous meeting between these sides ended 2-2 in October 2025, but given the current form, a repeat of that high-scoring draw seems unlikely.

Expect Milan to dominate possession and create the majority of chances, while Pisa will likely sit deep and hope to strike on the counter. However, with Milan’s defense conceding less than a goal per game and Pisa struggling to find the net, the visitors appear well-positioned to extend their unbeaten streak. The hosts’ best hope may lie in keeping the scoreline tight and capitalizing on set pieces, but even that could prove difficult against such a disciplined opponent.

Given the statistical trends — Pisa’s low scoring rate and Milan’s defensive strength — a low-scoring affair seems probable. The combination of Milan’s away form and Pisa’s inability to win at home points toward a comfortable result for the visitors, though not necessarily a goal fest.

Pisa vs AC Milan prediction by BetMines:
Double Chance X2 + Under 3.5 goals with a strong likelihood based on current form and statistical indicators.