Tools
Pisa
0 - 1
FT
Bologna
Prediction published on Feb 28, 2026 6:00 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 28, 2026 6:00 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Pisa and Bologna promises to be a contest between two sides living very different realities. Scheduled for Monday, March 2, 2026, this match at the Cetilar Arena will see the home team desperately seeking to end a long winless streak, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position in the top half of the table. Bologna arrive in excellent form, having won four consecutive matches across all competitions, while Pisa remain anchored near the bottom, struggling to find any consistency or attacking spark.
Pisa enter this fixture in dire need of points. The team has not celebrated a victory in their last 15 Serie A matches, a run that has left them 19th in the standings, nine points adrift of safety. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat to Fiorentina on February 23, extending a sequence of poor results that has included two consecutive losses. Over their last five league games, Pisa have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, averaging just 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match.
At home, the situation is equally concerning. Pisa have lost six of their last seven home fixtures and have scored only four goals in 13 home matches this season — the lowest tally in the league. Their overall record in Serie A stands at 1 win, 12 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. They have also failed to lead at half-time in 25 of their last 26 matches, underlining their slow starts and lack of attacking initiative.
Injuries continue to complicate matters for Pisa, with several key players unavailable. The absence of multiple first-team members has forced the coach to rotate heavily, and the team’s lack of depth has been exposed. Despite these challenges, the home side will hope that the return of goalkeeper Adrian Semper can bring some stability at the back. Former Bologna player Samuel Iling-Junior is expected to feature, while the attacking duo of Moreo and Stojilkovic will try to break a goal drought that has plagued the team for weeks.
Bologna arrive in Tuscany full of confidence after a string of positive results. The Rossoblù have won four consecutive matches across Serie A and the Europa League, including a 1-0 victory over Brann on February 26 that secured their place in the continental round of 16. In domestic competition, Bologna currently sit 8th in the table with a record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats. Their recent form shows 4 wins and 1 draw in the last five games, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match.
Although Bologna’s attack has not been prolific, their defensive solidity has been key to their recent success. They have kept three consecutive clean sheets in all competitions, each ending in a 1-0 win. Away from home, they have shown improvement, scoring in 11 consecutive Serie A away matches — a streak unmatched since the 1953/54 season. Moreover, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 away league games, and Over 0.5 goals in the second half have occurred in 18 of their last 20 matches.
Bologna will, however, have to cope without both of their left-backs, Charalampos Lykogiannis and Juan Miranda, who are sidelined through injury. Alternatives such as Joao Mario or Nadir Zortea could fill the gap. In attack, Santiago Castro is expected to start ahead of Thijs Dallinga, having scored in three of his last five appearances. The team’s balance and discipline under their current coach have been instrumental in their steady climb up the table.
This encounter appears to be a mismatch on paper. Pisa are struggling to find form, confidence, and goals, while Bologna are riding a wave of momentum both domestically and in Europe. The visitors have also dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning the last three encounters and scoring freely, including a 4-0 victory in October 2025. Pisa’s inability to convert chances and their defensive fragility make them vulnerable against a disciplined and efficient Bologna side.
Statistically, Bologna’s consistency in scoring away from home and Pisa’s poor defensive record suggest that the visitors are well-positioned to take all three points. The home team’s lack of attacking threat — averaging less than one goal per game — contrasts sharply with Bologna’s ability to manage tight matches and strike at key moments. Given the trends, a low-scoring game is possible, but Bologna’s superior form and organization should prevail.
BetMines prediction for Pisa vs Bologna:
Bologna win (2) with a probability of 59%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1