Tools
Pisa
3 - 1
FT
Cagliari
Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 3:02 PM
The 29th round of Serie A brings a crucial clash between Pisa and Cagliari at the Arena Garibaldi. The home side are in a desperate fight to avoid relegation, but their situation looks almost irreversible as they sit bottom of the table with just 15 points. Despite a managerial change, results have not improved, and four consecutive defeats have left the Tuscan side on the brink. A sporting miracle would be required to reverse a trend that seems destined to end in relegation.
Pisa come into this match after a heavy 4-0 defeat against Juventus on March 7, a result that underlined their current struggles. The team has gone 17 consecutive Serie A matches without a win, collecting only one victory all season (1 win, 12 draws, 15 losses). Their attacking output has been particularly poor, averaging just 0.7 goals scored per match while conceding 1.7 on average. In their last five games, Pisa have scored only once and conceded eight times.
At home, Pisa have found little comfort. They have failed to win at half time in 27 of their last 28 matches, and their last four league games have all ended in defeat, with the last three without scoring. Even so, their record against Cagliari at the Arena Garibaldi offers a small glimmer of hope: Pisa are unbeaten at home against the Sardinians in Serie A, with one win and two draws, and have never conceded a goal in those encounters.
Offensively, Pisa have struggled to find a reliable scorer. Although Stefano Moreo netted in the reverse fixture, all his five league goals this season have come away from home. The lack of efficiency in front of goal has been one of the main reasons for their poor campaign.
Cagliari approach this fixture in a more comfortable position, sitting 14th with 30 points, but their recent form has also been disappointing. They have gone five matches without a win (2 draws, 3 defeats), including a 2-1 loss against Como in their last outing. Despite being virtually safe from relegation, the Rossoblù will want to end their negative streak and secure points to consolidate their mid-table status.
In terms of performance, Cagliari have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match this season. Away from home, they have struggled defensively, conceding in 13 of their 14 away games and keeping only one clean sheet — the joint-lowest record in Serie A alongside Pisa. Their attacking output has also slowed down, with just two goals scored in their last five matches after netting seven in the previous three.
Historically, Cagliari have lost only one of their seven Serie A meetings with Pisa, winning twice and drawing four times. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on December 21, 2025. However, their inability to maintain defensive solidity away from home could make this a tricky fixture.
Both teams enter this match in poor form, and goals may be scarce given their current attacking inefficiency. Pisa’s lack of confidence in front of goal and Cagliari’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest a cautious contest. The historical trend also points towards tight, low-scoring games between these sides. Pisa’s only victory this season came months ago, and their inability to score consistently makes it difficult to see them breaking their winless streak here.
On the other hand, Cagliari’s away record remains fragile, and their recent performances have lacked the sharpness seen earlier in the campaign. With both sides struggling to find the net, a draw could be a realistic outcome, but the most probable scenario is a match with few goals.
BetMines prediction: Under 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Cagliari
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1