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Prediction published on Nov 5, 2025 12:21 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 7, 2025 10:25 AM
On Friday, November 7, at the Arena Garibaldi Stadium, Serie A Matchday 11 kicks off with the opening fixture between Pisa and Cremonese — a clash between two newly promoted sides experiencing very different moments. The two teams are separated by eight points in the standings: the hosts, stuck at 6, are still chasing their first win of the season, while the visitors have already collected 14 points, surprising everyone with their performances. For Pisa, this is a do-or-die match: a victory could reignite their hopes of avoiding relegation and bring some enthusiasm back to the club, but another misstep could seriously compromise their path toward survival. Cremonese, on the other hand, approach this fixture eager to bounce back from their home defeat against Juventus and extend their lead over the relegation zone. We can expect a tense and hard-fought game, with the Nerazzurri (Black and Blues) desperate to break their home drought and the Grigiorossi (Grey and Reds) looking to confirm their solid start. A win would be hugely significant for both sides: for Pisa, it would mark a turning point in their season; for Cremonese, another step toward a comfortable stay in Serie A.
Pisa, still without a win in Serie A, drew 2-2 away to Torino in the last round after taking a two-goal lead thanks to a Stefano Moreo brace. It was another missed opportunity for the Tuscan side, forced to postpone once again their first league victory.
The Nerazzurri’s recent form has been relatively stable: in their last five games, they have recorded 4 draws (including notable ones against AC Milan and Lazio) and 1 defeat (against Bologna), with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. These numbers highlight some struggles in converting chances but also an inconsistent defense.
After the first ten Serie A rounds, Pisa sit 17th in the standings with 6 points from 6 draws and 4 losses, having scored 7 goals and conceded 14. Half of those points have come at home, thanks to goalless draws against Fiorentina, Verona, and Lazio. Considering also the two 0-1 home defeats to AS Roma and Udinese, Pisa are still looking for their first home goal of the season at the Arena Garibaldi.
Cremonese, after a 1-2 home defeat to Juventus in their last Serie A outing, saw their run of three positive results (2 draws and 1 win) come to an end. Despite the loss, there was a bright note: Jamie Vardy scored his second goal in three matches, showing that he’s adapting quickly to Italian football.
Davide Nicola’s side has shown both strengths and weaknesses lately: in their last five competitive games, they’ve collected 1 win (away at Genoa), 2 draws, and 2 defeats (against Inter Milan and Juventus), averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The Grigiorossi remain effective up front but slightly fragile at the back.
That setback against Juventus didn’t change much in the table: after ten rounds, Cremonese sit 10th with 14 points from 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 12. The team has performed better away from home, earning 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and delivering strong performances on tough grounds — beating AC Milan 2-1 and drawing 0-0 at Como.
Given what’s at stake — especially for Pisa — a tactical and cagey game with few scoring chances seems likely. According to BetMines, the two most probable outcomes are Under 2.5 goals and “Both Teams to Score – No”, each with a 54% probability.
At the Arena Garibaldi, Pisa have struggled to find the net but shown solid defensive discipline, keeping three consecutive clean sheets at home. Everything points to a low-scoring affair, with at least one team likely failing to score.
As for the final result, BetMines predicts a tight contest: 37% probability of a Pisa win versus 33% for Cremonese. The recommended tips lean toward a Double Chance 1X, suggesting the hosts — driven by their home crowd and motivation — could at least avoid defeat in this crucial relegation battle.
Among the key players to watch are Mbala Nzola (2 goals this season) for Pisa, and for Cremonese, Federico Bonazzoli — their top scorer with 4 goals — and Jari Vandeputte, who has already provided 4 assists.
PISA (3-5-2): Semper; Caracciolo, Albiol, Canestrelli; Touré, Akinsanmiro, Marin, Aebischer, Cuadrado; Moreo, Nzola. Coach: Gilardino
CREMONESE (3-5-2): Audero; Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti; Barbieri, Payero, Bondo, Vandeputte, Faye; Bonazzoli, Vardy. Coach: Nicola
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1