Tools
Pisa
3 - 1
FT
Cremonese
Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 5:34 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 5:34 PM
Pisa host Cremonese at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani on October 17, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:30 local time. The Serie B match brings together two clubs aiming for an immediate return to Serie A after relegation, but neither has enjoyed a straightforward start. Pisa are seventh with 10 points, while Cremonese are 14th with six. A 3-0 victory over Vicenza has lifted the hosts after a difficult spell; the visitors, meanwhile, arrive unbeaten in their last five matches but have struggled to turn draws into wins. Those contrasting trends make this an intriguing Pisa vs Cremonese preview.
Pisa returned to winning ways with a 3-0 victory away to Vicenza on October 10. It was a welcome response after a draw with Mantova and a 4-1 home defeat to Entella. The Vicenza result gives the hosts a stronger platform for this fixture, although their broader recent record remains uneven: across their last five matches, Pisa have one win, one draw and three defeats.
In those five games, Pisa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Their six-game Serie B record is more encouraging, with three wins, one draw and two losses, alongside averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The difference between those season figures and the last-five sequence underlines why the Vicenza win matters: Pisa have shown they can score freely, but they have not yet paired that ability with consistent results.
Playing at home has not guaranteed a clean sheet. Pisa have conceded at least once in each of their last 17 home matches, and the 4-1 loss to Entella illustrates how costly defensive problems can become. Another recurring feature of their games is second-half scoring: at least one goal has been scored after the break in 18 of their last 20 matches. Pisa will hope the confidence gained against Vicenza carries into this meeting, while recognising that Cremonese come in on an unbeaten run.
Cremonese drew 0-0 with Arezzo on October 10, extending a run of draws that also includes matches against Entella and Cesena. Their last five results comprise two wins and three draws, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. That unbeaten sequence offers a clear contrast with their Serie B record of one win, three draws and two defeats.
The change from Giampaolo to Pecchia has been followed by greater defensive solidity: Cremonese have not conceded in their last two games. Scoring has remained the more persistent difficulty, with five goals in their first six league matches and none in either of their last two Serie B fixtures. Their season averages stand at 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Staying competitive is one thing; finding the goal that turns a draw into a victory is the next challenge.
Another figure points to cautious starts in Cremonese matches. In 32 of their last 33 games, at least one team had not scored by half-time. That does not determine how this contest will unfold, but it fits a recent pattern in which Cremonese have kept games tight while finding goals hard to come by. They travel to Pisa with the assurance of five matches without defeat, even if their three most recent outings have all ended level.
The meeting presents a genuine contrast. Pisa have the stronger six-game league record and come off a three-goal win, yet they have lost three of their last five and have a long run of home games without a clean sheet. Cremonese have been harder to beat recently, but their two consecutive goalless draws raise questions about their ability to capitalise if the hosts concede again.
The head-to-head summary is close: across five meetings, Pisa have three wins and Cremonese have two, with both sides averaging 1.4 goals per match in that sequence. The most recent head-to-head finished 3-0 on May 10, 2026. For this fixture, however, recent form offers competing signals. Pisa's defensive record leaves room for a goal, while Cremonese's improved resistance and recent lack of scoring point towards a tighter game than Pisa's latest result might suggest.
The supplied match probabilities also reflect that uncertainty, assigning Pisa a 37% chance of winning, compared with 34% for Cremonese and 29% for a draw. The goals figures lean more clearly towards restraint, with Under 2.5 goals rated at 58%. Pisa's 3-0 win at Vicenza shows the hosts can break that line, but Cremonese's back-to-back scoreless matches make a lower-scoring contest a coherent reading of the current evidence.
Pisa vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1