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Pisa
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Genoa
Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 3:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Pisa and Genoa promises to be a crucial one for both sides, though for very different reasons. Scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026, this match at the Arena Garibaldi could determine the fate of the home team, who are staring at a possible return to Serie B after just one season in the top flight. Meanwhile, Genoa are looking to secure mathematical safety and extend their positive run under their current management. With Pisa sitting bottom of the table and Genoa comfortably mid-table, the encounter still carries significant emotional and competitive weight.
Pisa have endured a difficult campaign since their return to Serie A. The team has managed only 2 wins, 12 draws, and 18 defeats so far, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their recent form paints a bleak picture: just one victory in the last five games, with four defeats and an average of 2.8 goals conceded per match. The 3-0 loss to Roma on April 10 was their seventh defeat in eight matches, and it also marked the 14th time this season they failed to score.
At home, Pisa have struggled to impose themselves. They have failed to win in 20 of their last 21 Serie A matches and have not led at halftime in 30 of their last 32 games. Defensive frailty has been a recurring issue, with at least one goal conceded in nearly every recent fixture. Despite these numbers, the team remains determined to fight until the end, hoping to give their supporters something to cheer about in the final stretch of the season.
There is a small glimmer of hope in the possible return of Marius Marin, which would give the coach a nearly full squad to choose from, with only Daniel Denoon still unavailable. Up front, Stefano Moreo remains the team’s top scorer with six goals, while Matteo Tramoni and Rafiu Durosinmi could also play key roles in the attack. However, Pisa’s main challenge remains consistency and the ability to convert chances into goals.
Genoa approach this fixture in much better shape. Their recent 2-1 victory over Sassuolo on April 12 was their third win in the last five matches, bringing them to 9 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats overall. The team averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing a balanced but slightly cautious approach. With 94 shots recorded in 22 matches, their offensive improvement has been noticeable, and they now sit nine points clear of the relegation zone.
Despite their progress, Genoa’s away form remains inconsistent. They have failed to score in four of their last six away matches and have drawn three of their last four away games against lower-ranked opponents. This suggests that while they are stronger overall, they may still face difficulties breaking down defensive teams like Pisa. The absence of key players such as Ellertsson, Malinovskyi, and Frendrup due to suspension could also limit their midfield creativity.
Nevertheless, Genoa’s attacking options remain dangerous. Lorenzo Colombo, who scored in the reverse fixture in January, leads the line with six goals and is just one away from his personal best in Serie A. The team’s confidence and tactical discipline have improved significantly, and they will look to capitalize on Pisa’s defensive weaknesses to secure another vital win.
The last meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw on January 3, 2026, and their head-to-head record shows Genoa with a slight edge: 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses in the last three encounters. Both teams tend to produce low-scoring matches, with Pisa averaging just 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in these fixtures. Given Pisa’s struggles in front of goal and Genoa’s occasional away difficulties, another tight contest seems likely.
Statistically, Pisa’s inability to hold leads and Genoa’s defensive organization point toward a cautious game. The visitors’ superior form and confidence make them favorites to avoid defeat, while the hosts will likely focus on damage limitation and counterattacks. The match could hinge on whether Pisa can find an early goal to unsettle their opponents, but their recent record suggests that will be a tall order.
With Pisa ranked 20th and Genoa 13th in Serie A, the difference in momentum and morale is clear. Pisa’s home advantage may not be enough to overcome their current slump, while Genoa’s balanced approach and attacking efficiency could see them take at least a point from this encounter.
Pisa vs Genoa prediction from BetMines: Genoa win (2) with 36% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Genoa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
7
3
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0