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Pisa
0 - 1
FT
Torino
Prediction published on Apr 3, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 3, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Pisa and Torino at the Arena Garibaldi promises to be a tense encounter between two sides living very different realities. The home team are struggling at the bottom of the table, while the visitors have already secured safety but remain far from the European spots. For Pisa, this match represents one of the last chances to restore pride in a season that has been extremely complicated from the very first round. Torino, on the other hand, will aim to end the campaign with dignity, consolidating their mid-table position and perhaps testing new tactical solutions for the future.
It has been a difficult season for Pisa, who sit in 20th place with just 18 points. The team has struggled to adapt to the demands of Serie A, collecting only two wins, twelve draws, and sixteen defeats so far. Their attacking output has been modest, averaging 0.8 goals per match, while defensively they have conceded 1.8 goals per game. The last five fixtures have brought just one victory and four losses, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. The heavy 5-0 defeat against Como on March 22 highlighted the team’s ongoing defensive issues.
At home, Pisa have found little comfort. They have failed to win in 30 of their last 32 matches overall and in 28 of their last 30 Serie A games. Even at half time, the trend remains negative, with no lead in 27 of their last 29 league fixtures. However, there have been occasional signs of resilience, such as the 3-1 victory over Cagliari in their last home outing, which offered a brief glimpse of hope. That result could inspire the squad to fight for back-to-back home wins for the first time since 1990.
In attack, Stefano Moreo remains the team’s main reference point with six goals to his name. His previous double against Torino earlier in the season could give him confidence heading into this match. Pisa’s challenge will be to rediscover the compactness and determination that characterized their performances in Serie B, as they look to end the campaign on a positive note.
Torino approach this fixture from a more comfortable position, sitting 14th in the table with 33 points. Their season has been inconsistent, alternating between solid performances and unexpected setbacks. The team’s record stands at nine wins, six draws, and fifteen defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. In their last five games, Torino have recorded two victories and three losses, scoring and conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 3-2 defeat against AC Milan on March 21, a result that exposed some defensive fragility.
One of Torino’s main weaknesses this season has been their away form. They have earned just one point from their last six away matches, conceding at least two goals in each of them — a total of 18 goals in that period. Historically, the team has rarely endured such a poor defensive run on the road. Despite this, Torino have remained unbeaten in 22 of their last 23 matches against newly promoted sides, keeping 13 clean sheets in that span. The only defeat came against Como earlier this month.
Offensively, Giovanni Simeone has been the standout performer with eight goals. He has scored in consecutive matches against Parma and Milan and will be eager to extend his streak to three games for the first time since 2020. Alongside him, Duván Zapata provides physical presence and experience, while the creative line behind them, featuring players like Vlasic, aims to supply the necessary service. Torino’s main objective will be to tighten their defense while maintaining their attacking rhythm, especially in the second half, where over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 away fixtures.
The head-to-head record between these two sides suggests a balanced contest. The last meeting ended 2-2 on November 2, 2025, and Pisa have remained unbeaten in five of their last six Serie A encounters with Torino. Historically, the home side have also enjoyed success at the Arena Garibaldi, winning their last three home matches against the Granata in the top flight. However, both teams have struggled defensively this season, with Pisa conceding 54 goals and Torino 53 — the two worst records in the league.
Given these numbers, a cautious approach is expected from both sides. Pisa will likely focus on defensive organization and quick transitions, while Torino could rely on their attacking duo to exploit spaces. The match may hinge on individual moments of brilliance rather than sustained dominance. Considering the recent trends, particularly the low scoring averages and the previous 2-2 draw, the encounter could once again be tight and balanced.
Statistically, the probabilities indicate a 41% chance of a Pisa win, 27% for a draw, and 33% for a Torino victory. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market stands at 52%, while the Over 2.5 goals option is slightly favored at 52% compared to 48% for the Under. These figures suggest that while goals are possible, the match could still remain competitive and unpredictable until the final whistle.
PISA (3-5-2): Scuffet; Caracciolo, Albiol, Canestrelli; Leris, Hojholt, Aebischer, Loyola, Angori; Moreo, Tramoni.
TORINO (3-4-2-1): Paleari; Coco, Ismajli, Ebosse; Pedersen, Gineitis, Prati, Obrador; Vlasic; Simeone, Zapata.
Pisa vs Torino prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards an Under 2.5 goals outcome, reflecting a balanced contest where both sides may struggle to convert chances consistently. This market is supported by a probability of 48%, suggesting a cautious and low-scoring affair at the Arena Garibaldi.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Torino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2