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Pisa
1 - 4
FT
Virtus Entella
Prediction published on Sep 9, 2026 7:06 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Sep 9, 2026 7:06 PM
Pisa host Virtus Entella at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani in Serie B on September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. The hosts are chasing a third consecutive league victory after responding strongly to their opening defeat against Padova with wins over Juve Stabia and Catanzaro. Virtus Entella, meanwhile, remain without a victory this season and collected their first point in a 2-2 draw with Vicenza. Pisa enter the fixture in seventh place, while the visitors are 15th. The contrasting starts, together with Virtus Entella's prolonged difficulties away from home, give the home side an opportunity to continue building momentum.
Pisa have recovered well from their disappointing opening result. Their latest performance brought a convincing 3-0 away victory over Juve Stabia on September 6, extending their winning sequence to two league matches. Across their last five games, the Tuscan side have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while conceding only 0.8.
Their Serie B record currently stands at two wins and one defeat from three matches. Pisa are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in the competition, figures that underline the positive balance of their early performances. Having been relegated last season, the stated ambition is to challenge for an immediate return to Serie A. The successive victories over Juve Stabia and Catanzaro have restored confidence after the opening setback and kept that objective firmly in focus.
There are nevertheless statistics that prevent this from looking entirely straightforward. Pisa have conceded at least once in each of their last 16 home matches, while they have allowed a goal in 29 of their previous 31 fixtures overall. That recurring vulnerability means the hosts cannot treat a winless opponent lightly. At the same time, all of Pisa's last 12 matches have finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, pointing towards controlled scorelines rather than consistently high-scoring contests.
Virtus Entella travel to Pisa still searching for their first win of the campaign. Their 2-2 home draw against Vicenza on September 6 delivered their opening point, but their Serie B record remains one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.7 conceded per league match, leaving them below Pisa in both results and defensive numbers.
The wider form also highlights the visitors' difficult period. Virtus Entella have recorded no wins, two draws and three defeats across their last five matches. During that sequence, they have scored an average of 1.0 goal and conceded 1.6 per game. The copied match context also notes that they have already allowed seven goals across league and Coppa Italia action, placing particular pressure on a defence that has struggled to resist opponents.
Away results represent the clearest concern. Virtus Entella have failed to win in 19 of their last 20 away matches, and the supplied context states that they have lost both of their trips this season. Their last 12 away games in Serie B have all remained under 3.5 total goals, so their poor travelling record has not necessarily been associated with extreme scorelines. Second-half action has been far more regular: at least one goal after the interval has been recorded in 19 of their last 21 matches, as well as 18 of their last 20 Serie B fixtures.
The main contrast ahead of this Serie B match is between Pisa's improving momentum and Virtus Entella's continuing winless run. The hosts have won their last two league fixtures and arrive after scoring three unanswered goals against Juve Stabia. Virtus Entella have yet to win, have lost three of their last five matches and possess a particularly weak recent record on the road.
The available probabilities also lean towards Pisa, although they indicate that the contest is not completely one-sided. A home victory carries a 45% probability, compared with 30% for the draw and 25% for an away win. Pisa's superior recent record, stronger league averages and home status provide the central arguments in their favour. Virtus Entella's run of 19 winless results from 20 away fixtures further strengthens the case for the hosts.
Goals data suggests that patience could be important. The probability for under 2.5 goals is 65%, while both teams failing to score is rated at 58%. In addition, Pisa's last 12 matches and Virtus Entella's last 12 Serie B away fixtures have all stayed below 3.5 total goals. Those trends support the prospect of a relatively measured contest, even though Pisa have averaged two goals across their latest five appearances.
Pisa's long sequence of conceding at home offers Virtus Entella some encouragement, but the visitors must improve on an attacking average of one goal per match. The likelihood of second-half scoring in Virtus Entella fixtures is another relevant feature, suggesting that the game could open up more after the break. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with Pisa recording two wins, one draw and two defeats while averaging 1.6 goals both scored and conceded. The latest listed meeting ended 2-0 on July 30, 2022.
Overall, Pisa appear better placed to dictate the outcome. Their two consecutive victories, more efficient scoring numbers and Virtus Entella's extensive away struggles all support the home side. The visitors' best route to a positive result may be to keep the score close, particularly given the repeated under 3.5-goal trends surrounding both teams. Even so, Pisa's current momentum makes them the more convincing option to take the points.
Pisa vs Virtus Entella prediction from BetMines: Pisa win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Virtus Entella
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
7
3
10
0