Tools
Platense
2 - 1
FT
Instituto
Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 9:03 PM
The new season of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol continues with an intriguing clash between Platense and Instituto, two sides eager to bounce back after disappointing starts to the Apertura 2026. The match will take place on Monday, January 26, at the Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, where both teams will look to end their respective winless streaks and gain early momentum in the campaign. For Platense, this fixture represents a chance to rediscover their home form, while Instituto will aim to break a worrying run of away results that has stretched since mid-2025.
Platense began their 2026 Apertura with a goalless draw away to Unión Santa Fe, a result that offered some stability after a difficult end to last season. The team from Vicente López fielded several new signings, and while the chemistry is still developing, the defensive solidity shown in that opener was encouraging. However, their home record remains a concern: Platense have failed to win any of their last five home matches, drawing against Sarmiento de Junín, Deportivo Riestra, and San Martín de San Juan, while losing to Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata and Godoy Cruz.
In terms of numbers, Platense’s recent form highlights their struggles in front of goal. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging just 0.2 goals scored per game while conceding 1.6. Their inability to take the lead early has also been a recurring issue — they have failed to win at half time in 19 of their last 20 matches, and in 25 of their last 27 league fixtures. Despite these challenges, Platense’s defensive organization has occasionally kept games tight, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 12 home league matches.
Currently sitting 9th in the Liga Profesional after one round, Platense will hope that returning to Vicente López can spark a turnaround. Their historical record against Instituto offers some optimism, having won the last two home meetings and maintaining a positive head-to-head balance overall (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat).
Instituto endured a tough start to the new campaign, falling 0-1 at home to Vélez Sarsfield. That defeat extended a worrying trend that dates back to the previous season, as the Córdoba side have now gone five official matches without a win (4 losses and 1 draw). Their away form is particularly concerning — they have not celebrated a victory on the road since July 12, a stretch that includes 3 defeats and 3 draws.
In their last five outings, Instituto have averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, underlining their offensive struggles. The team has also been involved in low-scoring encounters, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 4 of their last 11 league matches and in 4 of their last 19 away fixtures. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score in the second half in 37 of their last 40 matches, a statistic that reflects their cautious approach and lack of attacking consistency.
Ranked 15th in the Liga Profesional after the opening round, Instituto will need to find a way to improve their efficiency in front of goal. Their recent visits to Platense have been particularly unkind, as they have lost on each of their last three trips to Vicente López. Breaking that pattern will be crucial if they are to avoid another early-season slump.
This fixture brings together two teams struggling for rhythm and confidence. Platense have shown defensive discipline but lack creativity in the final third, while Instituto face similar issues, often finding it difficult to convert their limited chances. Given both sides’ recent scoring records, a tight and low-scoring contest appears likely.
Historically, matches between these two have been balanced, with the most recent encounter ending 1-1 in August 2025. However, Platense’s home advantage and their superior head-to-head record could tilt the balance slightly in their favor. Still, both teams’ current form suggests that goals will be at a premium, and patience may be the key factor in determining the outcome.
Considering both teams’ recent performances and their tendency toward low-scoring matches, the BetMines prediction points to a cautious affair. The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% probability. Neither side has shown much attacking flair in recent weeks, and with both prioritizing defensive stability, another tight contest is expected at Vicente López.
Platense vs Instituto prediction by BetMines: Under 2.5 goals (71% probability).
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Platense
Instituto
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
8
2
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0