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Ponte Preta
11:00 PM
June 22, 2026
Novorizontino
Prediction published on Jun 20, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie B | Modified on Jun 20, 2026 6:02 PM
The fourteenth round of the Brazilian Serie B brings a traditional clash from the interior of São Paulo, as Ponte Preta host Grêmio Novorizontino on Monday night. The match, scheduled for June 22 at 20:00, promises contrasting emotions between two teams living very different moments in the competition. While the home side struggle to escape the relegation zone, the visitors are fighting to break into the top four and continue their impressive unbeaten run.
Ponte Preta enter this round in a delicate situation. With only eight points collected so far, the team sits in 19th place in the Serie B standings. Their recent performances have been disappointing, with a sequence of negative results that has left the fans worried. The 3-0 defeat against Juventude on June 14 highlighted the defensive fragility of the squad, which has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game this season.
In their last five matches, Ponte Preta have recorded no wins, one draw, and four losses, scoring an average of just 0.8 goals while conceding 2.6. The team’s attack has struggled to find rhythm, and the defense has been unable to maintain consistency. The absence of the Colombian defender Sergio Palacios, suspended after receiving a red card in the previous round, further complicates the situation for the home side. Despite playing at the Moisés Lucarelli, where they traditionally perform better, the current form suggests a challenging night ahead.
On the other side, Grêmio Novorizontino arrive in Campinas with confidence and momentum. The team currently occupies 5th place in the Serie B table and has been unbeaten for several rounds. Their latest result, a 2-2 draw against Náutico on June 14, extended their run of five consecutive matches without defeat. Over this period, they have achieved two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding only 1.2.
Novorizontino’s consistency has been one of their main strengths this season. They have lost only twice in 13 matches and have shown remarkable stability both at home and away. The team’s ability to control the first half is notable — they have not been behind at halftime in 20 of their last 22 Serie B games, and 12 of their last 14 away matches have been level at the break. This disciplined approach has allowed them to accumulate points steadily and stay close to the promotion zone.
The recent meetings between Ponte Preta and Novorizontino have been balanced, with each side winning twice and one draw in their last five encounters. The most recent clash ended 1-0 in favor of Novorizontino in January 2025. Historically, these matches tend to be tight, with an average of 0.8 goals scored by Ponte and 1.0 conceded per game in the head-to-head record.
For this encounter, the contrast in form is clear. Ponte Preta’s defensive issues and lack of offensive efficiency make them vulnerable, while Novorizontino’s organized structure and attacking efficiency give them a clear edge. The visitors’ ability to maintain control in the first half and capitalize on counterattacks could prove decisive. Given the current momentum, Novorizontino appear better equipped to dictate the pace and exploit the weaknesses of their opponents.
Statistically, the match also leans toward a low-scoring outcome. In Novorizontino’s last 14 matches, fewer than 0.5 goals were scored in three of them, and the same pattern appears in their away fixtures. Combined with Ponte Preta’s offensive struggles, this could lead to a cautious and tactical battle rather than a goal fest.
Considering the current form, statistical trends, and head-to-head record, Grêmio Novorizontino enter this fixture as the favorites. Ponte Preta’s defensive instability and lack of confidence contrast sharply with the visitors’ unbeaten streak and attacking consistency. The visitors’ disciplined approach and resilience make them strong candidates to secure another positive result.
Ponte Preta vs Grêmio Novorizontino prediction from BetMines:
Novorizontino win (2) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1