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Portimonense SAD
0 - 2
FT
Marítimo
Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 5:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 5:04 PM
The upcoming clash between Portimonense and Marítimo promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 12th round in Liga Portugal 2. Scheduled for Sunday at 14:00 at the Estádio Municipal de Portimão, this encounter brings together two sides with very different trajectories so far this season. The hosts are struggling to find form and stability, while the visitors are riding high at the top of the table, aiming to consolidate their promotion ambitions.
After starting the campaign with hopes of fighting for promotion, Portimonense have found themselves in a difficult position. The Algarve side have gone five consecutive matches without a win, collecting only 12 points so far. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat away to Porto B, a result that left them just one point above the relegation zone. The team’s struggles have been evident both in attack and defense, with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five games.
Throughout the season, Portimonense’s record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.7. Defensive fragility has been a recurring issue — the team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 17 matches in all competitions. Even at home, where they should be stronger, the trend continues: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures. These numbers highlight a side that often struggles to maintain focus after the break, leaving them vulnerable to late goals.
Despite these challenges, Portimonense will be desperate to turn things around in front of their fans. The home crowd could play a crucial role in motivating the players to end their winless streak. However, facing the league leaders will be a stern test for a team that has been short on confidence and consistency.
Marítimo arrive in Portimão in excellent form and full of confidence. The Madeiran side currently sit top of Liga Portugal 2, level on points with Sporting B but ahead on goal difference. They have won their last three matches in a row, including a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Penafiel in the previous round. With 23 points collected so far, Marítimo hold a three-point cushion over third-placed Torreense and are firmly on course for a return to the top flight.
Underlining their credentials as promotion contenders, Marítimo boast the best away record in the league, with four wins and just one defeat on the road. Their pragmatic and disciplined approach has been key to their success away from home, allowing them to control matches and capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. Over their last five games, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their season totals stand at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game — a balance that reflects both efficiency in attack and solidity in defense.
Marítimo’s recent performances have shown a team that knows how to manage different game situations. Whether leading or chasing a result, they have demonstrated composure and tactical awareness. Their ability to adapt, particularly in away fixtures, could once again prove decisive against a struggling Portimonense side.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Portimonense are under pressure to deliver a positive result after a poor run that has seen them slide dangerously close to the relegation zone. Their main challenge lies in finding attacking fluency while tightening up defensively. The fact that they have conceded in every match this season is a worrying sign, especially against a Marítimo side that rarely wastes scoring opportunities.
Marítimo, on the other hand, will approach this match with confidence but also caution. Their pragmatic style has been particularly effective away from home, where they often rely on a compact defensive block and quick transitions. Given Portimonense’s tendency to concede in the second half, the visitors may look to exploit late spaces as fatigue sets in. The head-to-head record slightly favors Portimonense, who have won four of the last five meetings between the sides, but current form clearly tilts the balance towards the league leaders.
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, but the current momentum suggests that Marítimo have the upper hand. Portimonense’s defensive lapses and lack of cutting edge in attack could once again prove costly, while Marítimo’s organization and efficiency make them a tough opponent to break down.
The most likely outcome is a Marítimo win (2) with a 44% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 27%, while a Portimonense win (1) stands at 28%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Portimonense SAD
Marítimo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1