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Porto II
3 - 0
FT
Chaves
Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 6:04 PM
The upcoming clash between FC Porto B and Desportivo de Chaves in the 28th round of Liga Portugal 2 promises to be a tense and balanced encounter. Both sides are eager to return to winning ways after recent setbacks, and the stakes remain high as the season enters its decisive phase. The match will take place at the Estádio Luís Filipe Meneses, where the home side has shown remarkable consistency throughout the campaign. For Chaves, the challenge will be to overcome their away struggles and reignite their promotion hopes before it’s too late.
FC Porto B approach this fixture after a narrow 2-1 defeat against Portimonense SAD on March 21, a result that ended a short unbeaten run. Over their last five matches, the young Dragons have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their overall season record in Liga Portugal 2 stands at 11 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
Despite recent inconsistencies, the Estádio Luís Filipe Meneses has been a true stronghold for Porto B. The team has won 70% of their last 10 home games and remains unbeaten in the last six. Notable victories over Académico Viseu (3-1), Vizela (1-0), and Sporting B (2-1) underline their dominance on home soil. This solid home record could once again play a decisive role as they aim to climb from their current 8th place in the standings.
Desportivo de Chaves have endured a rollercoaster season, alternating between promising performances and disappointing results. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-2 defeat against União de Leiria on March 20, a setback that halted their momentum after back-to-back wins over Académico de Viseu and Sporting B. In their last five matches, Chaves have achieved 3 wins and 2 defeats, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their season record mirrors that of their opponents, with 10 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses.
Currently sitting in 11th place, Chaves find themselves nine points adrift of the promotion zone. Their away form remains a concern, as most of their recent victories have come at home. The team’s inability to maintain consistency on the road has hindered their progress, and the pressure is mounting to deliver results away from their own ground. Another key trend worth noting is their low corner count — under 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last four league matches, suggesting a more cautious and compact approach.
The historical record between these two sides slightly favors Desportivo de Chaves, who have won three of the last five meetings, with one draw and one victory for FC Porto B. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in favor of Chaves on November 8, 2025. Across these matches, Porto B have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, highlighting the visitors’ slight edge in direct confrontations.
From a tactical standpoint, Porto B’s home resilience will likely be tested by Chaves’ need to push forward and recover lost ground in the promotion race. The hosts tend to control possession and build patiently, while Chaves often rely on quick transitions and compact defending. Given both teams’ recent scoring averages, a tight contest with limited goal opportunities could be expected. The statistical indicators also point toward a cautious affair, with Under 2.5 goals occurring in 55% of their recent matches and Both Teams To Score – No appearing in 55% of cases.
Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture appears finely balanced. Porto B’s strong home record contrasts with Chaves’ inconsistency away from home, while both sides have shown similar scoring patterns. The win probabilities suggest a narrow margin between the teams — Porto B 30%, Draw 31%, and Chaves 39%. With both teams averaging just over one goal per game, a low-scoring outcome remains plausible.
Based on the current trends and statistical outlook, the BetMines prediction for this match favors the Under 2.5 goals market, reflecting a 55% probability of a game with fewer than three total goals.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Porto II
Chaves
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
7
3