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Prediction published on Jun 22, 2025 10:08 AM by Dario in International - FIFA Club World Cup | Modified on Jun 22, 2025 10:28 AM
Last call for both Porto and Al Ahly. Tied at the bottom of Group A with just one point each, the two sides will battle for their remaining qualification hopes on Tuesday, June 24 at the Meadowlands Stadium, just outside New York City. The Portuguese side, coming off a disappointing third-place finish in Liga Portugal, have had a Club World Cup full of shadows rather than highlights: a goalless draw in the opening match against Palmeiras was followed by a defeat in the second round against Inter Miami. With only one point so far, the objective is clear for the final group match: secure the first win of the tournament by defeating the Egyptian champions, and hope that Palmeiras lose to Inter Miami. This would leave them level on points and allow them to fight for advancement through goal difference. On the other hand, Al Ahly also need nothing less than a victory to keep their hopes alive. After drawing against Inter Miami and losing to Palmeiras, their chances are slim. Unlike Porto, the Egyptians must hope for a convincing Palmeiras win over Lionel Messi's side. In either scenario, it’s likely that goal difference will determine which team advances to the Round of 16, making the Group A finale all the more thrilling. That said, a draw between Palmeiras and Inter Miami — both currently on four points, three ahead of Porto and Al Ahly — would render all other calculations moot, as it would automatically send both teams through to the knockout stage of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup.
Porto are not in a great run of form. Including a pre-tournament friendly against Riga, they’ve recorded two defeats and one draw in their last three matches. Their most recent setback came last Thursday, a 2-1 loss to Inter Miami. After taking the lead through a Samu penalty, the Portuguese side conceded twice early in the second half — goals from Segovia and Messi completed the comeback for the American team.
Despite an average of 1.8 goals per match over their last five outings, Martín Anselmi's squad has struggled to find the net at this Club World Cup. So far, they’ve only scored once — from the penalty spot. In their opening goalless draw against Palmeiras, Samu and his teammates managed just three shots on target.
The Egyptian champions saw a ten-game unbeaten streak come to an end on Matchday 2 with a 2-0 defeat to Palmeiras. Despite dominating possession (65% vs 35%), Al Ahly struggled to create genuine scoring chances, managing only two shots on target. They paved the way for the Brazilian victory with an unlucky own goal by Abou Ali and were then caught out on the counter by Flaco Lopez.
José Riveiro’s side has yet to score a single goal in this Club World Cup — a worrying stat ahead of the clash with Porto. One of the main reasons behind this lack of firepower is the absence of top scorer Emam Ashour, who is sidelined with an injury after netting 19 goals this season.
With both sides needing a win to stay in the competition, Porto and Al Ahly will have to take the kind of risks they avoided in the first two rounds. A draw is essentially useless to both teams, making this the type of match where caution will likely be thrown to the wind.
This suggests an open, attacking game where the goals that were missing earlier might finally arrive. Despite their early struggles, both Porto and Al Ahly have quick and dangerous forwards capable of exploiting fragile defenses and adding to their season tallies.
The Porto vs Al Ahly prediction provided by the BetMines algorithm points to a dynamic, back-and-forth encounter where both teams are expected to score at least once.
PORTO (3-4-2-1): Ramos; Perez, Pedro, Marcano; Mario, Varela, Eustaquio, Moura; Veiga, Mora; Samu.
Coach: Martín Anselmi
AL AHLY (4-3-3): El Shenawy; Hany, Dari, Ibrahim, Attiyat-Allah; Ben Romdhane, Attia, Fathi; Zizo, Ali, Trezeguet. Coach: José Riveiro
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Porto
Al Ahly
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1