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Porto vs Benfica Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 20-09-2026

Porto

7:30 PM

September 20, 2026

Benfica

Estádio Do Dragão
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Sep 18, 2026 7:34 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Sep 18, 2026 7:34 PM

The first major Liga Portugal clash of the 2026/27 season takes place on September 20, when Porto welcome Benfica to the Estádio Do Dragão at 19:30 local time. The seventh-round fixture brings together the top two teams in the competition: Porto lead the standings after winning all six of their league matches, while unbeaten Benfica sit second with five victories and one draw. Only two points separate the rivals, so the hosts can extend their advantage to five points with another success, whereas an away victory would send Benfica into first place. Both teams enter this Porto vs Benfica preview in excellent domestic form and with impressive attacking records, creating the conditions for a highly competitive encounter.

Porto Recent Form and Key Statistics

Porto have made a perfect start to their Liga Portugal campaign, recording six wins from six matches. They are averaging 2.5 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded per league game, underlining the balance behind their early leadership. Across their last five fixtures in all competitions, Porto have collected four victories and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while allowing 0.8 per match.

Their latest league appearance ended in a 4-1 away victory over Casa Pia on September 12. Porto fell behind from a penalty late in the first half but equalised before the interval and then scored three times during the second period. That result maintained their flawless domestic record and represented their second official victory of the season by at least three goals, following a 3-0 win over Académico Viseu.

The hosts also possess several long-running sequences that reinforce their consistency. Porto have scored at least once in each of their last 28 Liga Portugal matches and in all of their previous 14 home league fixtures. They have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 league games and in 21 of their previous 22 home matches. Their first-half record is equally notable, as they have not been behind at the interval in their last 14 home league games and have led at half-time in six of the most recent 10.

Porto had no midweek fixture before this match, giving them more preparation time than their opponents. Victor Froholdt had been training under limitations but was expected to return, while Pablo Rosario and Gabri Veiga have produced strong performances in midfield. Pepê is the team’s most-used player with 687 minutes and has supplied four assists in eight appearances. Gabri Veiga, André Silva and Borja Sainz share the lead among Porto’s scorers, while Diogo Costa, Jan Bednarek and Jakub Kiwior have contributed to a defence that has conceded only twice in the league.

Benfica Recent Form and Key Statistics

Benfica arrive after winning their last eight matches in all competitions. Their most recent result was a 2-0 victory away to AC Milan on September 16, achieved despite nine changes from the previously selected starting side. That win also gave Benfica a third clean sheet in four games, with the only goal conceded during that sequence coming in a 3-1 league victory against Gil Vicente.

The visitors remain unbeaten in Liga Portugal, with five wins and one draw. They are averaging an outstanding 3.5 goals per league match and conceding 0.7. Their only dropped points came in a 2-2 draw against Académico Viseu on the opening matchday. Across their last five fixtures, Benfica have won every game while averaging 2.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded.

Benfica’s attacking runs are among the most significant statistics surrounding this fixture. They have scored in each of their last 26 matches in all competitions and in their previous 20 Liga Portugal games. They have also registered at least two goals in each of their last 12 league appearances. Total match goals have exceeded 2.5 in Benfica’s last 11 Liga Portugal fixtures, while each of their previous 20 league games has produced more than 1.5 goals.

The away figures are also strong. Benfica have scored in 15 consecutive matches on the road, and all 15 produced more than 1.5 total goals. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in their last 10 away league fixtures. They have additionally won at half-time in their previous six Liga Portugal away games and have not trailed at the break in any of their last 21 matches across all competitions.

Vangelis Pavlidis reaches this match with 14 goals and three assists from 12 appearances. Gianluca Prestianni has contributed eight goals and two assists, while Dodi Lukebakio scored and Jakub Kamiński registered one goal and two assists in Milan. Benfica therefore travel with confidence despite having played during the week.

Porto vs Benfica Match Analysis

The numbers point to a finely balanced contest. The supplied win probabilities give Porto a 36% chance, the draw 26% and Benfica 37%, leaving little separation between the two sides. Porto have home advantage, a perfect league record and additional preparation time, but Benfica arrive on an eight-match winning streak with the competition’s stronger scoring average.

Both teams have repeatedly found the net over extended periods. Porto’s 28-game league scoring sequence meets Benfica’s run of 20 consecutive Liga Portugal matches with at least one goal. The hosts have scored 15 times and conceded twice in six league rounds, while Benfica have recorded 21 goals and allowed four. Those defensive records are excellent, yet the attacking production available to both teams makes this a demanding test for each back line.

The previous meeting finished 2-2 on March 8, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Porto have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging one goal scored and two conceded. Benfica’s sequence of 11 league matches with more than 2.5 total goals adds further weight to the possibility of another open scoreline, while 18 of their last 20 Liga Portugal games have featured at least one first-half goal.

Porto can establish a five-point lead over Benfica with victory, but the visitors can overtake them by collecting all three points. That incentive, combined with Porto’s consistent home scoring and Benfica’s prolific league form, suggests that neither side will be content simply to protect its unbeaten domestic record. The strongest factual trend is the sustained ability of both attacks to score, even though each defence has also performed at a high level.

Porto vs Benfica prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.

Porto vs Benfica - Predictions

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Porto vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Porto

Benfica

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Porto and Benfica in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Porto

6

6

0

0

15:2

18

3

W
W
W
W
W
2

Benfica

6

5

1

0

21:4

16

2.67

W
W
W
W
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Porto vs Benfica: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Porto vs Benfica be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Porto and Benfica will be played on September 20, 2026 at 19:30.
Where will Porto vs Benfica be played?
The match between Porto and Benfica will be played at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto - Portugal
Who will referee Porto vs Benfica?
The referee for the match will be Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Porto vs Benfica in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Porto to win 2.70, draw 3.30, Benfica to win 2.55.
What are the betting odds for Porto vs Benfica for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.85 and Under 2.5 at 1.95.
Will both Porto and Benfica score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Porto vs Benfica in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Porto and Benfica?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Porto and Benfica, Porto won 1 times, Benfica won 2, and 2 ended in a draw.

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