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Prediction published on Nov 2, 2026 8:03 AM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Nov 2, 2026 8:03 AM
Portsmouth host Swansea City at Fratton Park on Tuesday, November 3, in a Championship Round 14 fixture. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 local time. Portsmouth enter the match unbeaten in five league games and have won three of their last four at home. Swansea City sit second in the table, nine places above their hosts, and returned to winning ways with a 4-0 victory over Blackburn Rovers on Saturday. Their two preceding league matches ended in defeat, however, and their most recent away trip brought a 5-0 loss. The contrast between Portsmouth’s recent home results and Swansea City’s uneven spell sets up an intriguing meeting.
Portsmouth drew 0-0 at Burnley on October 31, extending their unbeaten Championship run to five matches. That sequence comprises three wins and two draws, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Pompey have 19 points after 13 league fixtures and are 11th in the Championship, with an overall record of five wins, four draws and four defeats.
Fratton Park has been a productive setting for Portsmouth recently. They have taken three wins and one draw from their last four home league matches, including a 3-2 victory over Sheffield United and a 2-1 win against Millwall. Their only home defeats this season came in August and early September. The Burnley stalemate showed that Portsmouth can also collect a result without scoring, although their season averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per Championship game point to a more balanced overall record than their latest five-match run.
Two of Portsmouth’s last ten Championship matches finished without a goal from either side. That figure is worth keeping alongside their recent home victories: the goalless draw at Burnley was part of an unbeaten sequence, but it does not tell the whole story of a side that has won three of its previous four league games at Fratton Park.
Swansea City responded to consecutive defeats against West Ham and QPR by beating Blackburn Rovers 4-0 on October 31. Ross Stewart scored his first goal for the club in that victory. The result lifted Swansea City to 26 points from 13 Championship games and left them second in the table, with eight wins, two draws and three losses this season.
Across their last five matches, Swansea City have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals both scored and conceded per game. Their full-season Championship figures are stronger defensively: 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The Blackburn result demonstrated their scoring potential, but they had failed to find the net in two of their previous three league games, making that emphatic win a sharp change from their recent results.
Away form presents a further question for the visitors. Swansea City have lost two of their last four league matches on the road, including a 5-0 defeat at QPR in their most recent away outing. There has been at least one second-half goal in each of their last 17 away Championship matches; that statistic concerns goals in the matches overall, not necessarily goals scored by Swansea City. Their next trip is to a Portsmouth side with three home wins from four.
This Championship preview brings together two different measures of form. Swansea City have collected more points over the season and stand second, while Portsmouth arrive with the longer current unbeaten run. Pompey’s recent record at Fratton Park gives them a clear reason for confidence, yet Swansea City’s 4-0 response against Blackburn Rovers prevents their back-to-back defeats from defining the entire build-up.
The recent head-to-head figures are also competitive. From Portsmouth’s perspective, the five-match summary shows one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The latest meeting ended 1-2 on March 10, 2026. Those results offer context, but the immediate contrast is between Portsmouth’s unbeaten five-game run and Swansea City’s mixed results across the same span.
Portsmouth’s three wins and two draws in their last five league matches, together with their three wins in four recent home games, provide the strongest case for the hosts. Swansea City’s second-place standing and Blackburn victory remain substantial counterpoints, but their two defeats in three league matches before this fixture and their last away result leave a difficult trip to negotiate. With the win probabilities placing Portsmouth at 43%, Swansea City at 32% and the draw at 25%, the home side hold a narrow edge rather than an overwhelming one.
Portsmouth vs Swansea City prediction from BetMines: Portsmouth win (1) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Portsmouth
Swansea City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
9
1