Portugal host Norway at Estádio Do Dragão on October 4 in their final UEFA Nations League match of this international break. Portugal enter the fixture first in the competition rankings supplied for this match, with Norway third. The sides met only a week ago, when Portugal won 2-1 away from home, but their latest results have taken them in different directions: Portugal beat Denmark 4-2 on Thursday, while Norway lost 2-1 to Wales. Portugal have won all three of their Nations League matches so far, yet Norway’s consistent scoring record suggests the visitors will present a threat in Porto.

Portugal’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Portugal have opened their Nations League campaign with three victories from three matches. A 1-0 win over Wales was followed by the 2-1 success against Norway and Thursday’s 4-2 result against Denmark. They are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game in the competition. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Portugal have four wins and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

The Denmark match offered another example of Portugal’s attacking output. Despite having 46% possession, they scored four times, registered 10 shots on target and recorded 30 touches in the opposition box. Their 2.25 expected goals also underline the gap between the chances they created and the four goals they scored. Joao Felix and Goncalo Ramos were both on the scoresheet, while Felix has scored in each of Portugal’s three matches during this international window.

Portugal’s record at home adds to their strong position going into this rematch. They have avoided defeat in 21 of their last 22 home matches and are unbeaten in their last 11 home games, winning 10 and drawing one in that run. They have also led at half-time in each of their last three Nations League fixtures. Cristiano Ronaldo left the squad before the Denmark game and will not feature against Norway. Francisco Conceicao, who picked up a knock in the previous meeting with Norway and missed the Denmark match, is expected to remain unavailable.

Norway’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Norway started their Nations League campaign by beating Denmark 3-2, but have since suffered consecutive 2-1 defeats against Portugal and Wales. Their competition record stands at one win and two losses, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Across their last five fixtures in all competitions, Norway have two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring and conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Thursday’s loss to Wales brought difficulties beyond the result. Norway were reduced to 10 players early in the second half following Torbjorn Heggem’s dismissal. They finished with two big chances and 1.30 expected goals, while Erling Haaland recorded one shot on target and 0.35 expected goals. Heggem is suspended for the Portugal match, and Julian Ryerson is also expected to miss out after suffering an injury just 16 minutes into the Wales game.

Even after two defeats, Norway have a notable scoring streak to take into this trip: they have found the net in each of their last 24 matches. Both teams have scored in Norway’s last 13 fixtures, a sequence in which Norway have also conceded at least once in every game. Their last 15 matches have all featured more than 1.5 total goals. Away from home, Norway have won five of their last eight matches in all competitions, alongside one draw and two defeats.

Portugal vs Norway Match Analysis

Portugal’s perfect Nations League start and strong home record make them difficult opponents, particularly after they won the first meeting 2-1 on September 27. They have won three of the four matches in the supplied head-to-head summary, although Norway have already shown in this campaign that they can score against them. Portugal’s 4-2 victory over Denmark then reinforced their ability to convert attacking opportunities even without dominating possession.

For Norway, the question is whether their attack can again make an impact while the side works to limit chances at the other end. They scored in both recent defeats, but also conceded twice in each. With goals at both ends in 13 consecutive Norway matches, that pattern is central to this Portugal vs Norway preview. Portugal’s recent scoring form and Norway’s 24-match run of finding the net give the rematch the ingredients for another contest in which neither side keeps a clean sheet.

Portugal vs Norway prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.