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Portuguesa
0 - 0
FT
Deportivo La Guaira
Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Venezuela - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 9:03 PM
Portuguesa host Deportivo La Guaira on October 10, 2026, in round 12 of Venezuela’s Clausura. The Primera Division match is scheduled for 21:00 local time at Estadio General José Antonio Páez. Only one place separates the teams in the standings: Portuguesa are fifth and Deportivo La Guaira are sixth. Their recent results offer a similarly close picture, although both arrive after defeats. Portuguesa lost 2-1 to Academia Puerto Cabello, while La Guaira were beaten 4-2 by Deportivo Táchira. With neither side coming off a win, this meeting gives both an opportunity to respond.
Portuguesa had gone four matches unbeaten before their defeat to Academia Puerto Cabello on September 19. Their last five results comprise one win, three draws and one loss, a sequence that shows how frequently their matches have remained close. Over that period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The defeat to Puerto Cabello followed that same balanced pattern: Portuguesa scored, but their opponents found the net twice.
Across the Primera Division season, Portuguesa have recorded 11 wins, 12 draws and seven defeats. Their averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded provide a different perspective from the most recent five-match spell. Goals have been coming at both ends in their latest results, without giving them a decisive advantage. Turning draws into wins is an obvious opportunity for the fifth-placed hosts, but the narrow loss in their previous outing also underlines the cost of conceding.
Portuguesa’s recent scoring and conceding rates are particularly relevant against an opponent whose results have also featured goals at both ends. The hosts do not need to overcome a lengthy winless run, having taken one victory in their last five, but they will be seeking a stronger result than the three draws and one defeat that make up the rest of that sequence.
Deportivo La Guaira come into the fixture after three consecutive defeats, the latest a 4-2 loss to Deportivo Táchira on September 20. Their record across the last five matches stands at one win, one draw and three defeats. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded in those games, making their recent defensive return a concern ahead of the trip to face Portuguesa. Scoring twice against Táchira offered something positive in attack, but conceding four meant it was not enough to halt the losing run.
The broader season record is stronger than that recent stretch suggests. La Guaira have 13 wins, 11 draws and six defeats in Primera Division, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Their recent concession rate of 1.6 per match is therefore notably higher than their season average. The immediate question for the visitors is whether they can return to that steadier defensive level while maintaining a scoring threat.
There are also two away-match trends worth watching. Deportivo La Guaira have not been behind at half-time in their last 15 away Primera Division matches. In addition, their last 13 matches overall have each featured at least one second-half goal, as have their last 12 matches in the competition. Those second-half figures refer to total goals in the matches, not necessarily goals scored by La Guaira. They nevertheless suggest that the period after the interval has consistently produced a goal in their recent fixtures.
The league positions point to a close contest, but the teams’ recent form is not identical. Portuguesa have lost only once in five matches, drawing three of them; La Guaira have suffered three defeats in the same span. Both lost their most recent game while scoring themselves, leaving the hosts with a 2-1 defeat and the visitors with a 4-2 defeat. Those results keep goals at both ends in the conversation, particularly alongside Portuguesa’s matching five-game averages of 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded and La Guaira’s recent average of 1.6 conceded.
There is a counterweight in the head-to-head record. From Portuguesa’s perspective, the supplied five-match summary against Deportivo La Guaira reads zero wins, three draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. La Guaira won the most recent meeting 2-0 on May 23, 2026. That result offers the visitors encouragement, while Portuguesa’s low head-to-head scoring average cautions against treating recent goals trends as a guarantee that both sides will score this time.
The wider figures also leave room for a tight match. The supplied win probabilities are 34% for Portuguesa, 28% for a draw and 38% for Deportivo La Guaira, so there is no overwhelming favourite. The figures put both teams to score at 52%, while under 2.5 total goals stands at 56%. A match can be closely contested and still feature a goal for each side; whether that happens here may depend on which version of La Guaira’s defence appears, the one reflected in their season average or the one seen across their last five outings.
For Portuguesa, the challenge is to turn their recent ability to avoid defeat into a win while responding to the loss at Puerto Cabello. For La Guaira, ending a three-game losing run would require an improvement on their recent results, especially after conceding four against Táchira. Their long sequence without trailing at half-time away from home and the recurring second-half goals in their matches add further context to a fixture between two closely placed teams. The evidence supports a competitive game, with recent results giving both sides a plausible route to the scoresheet.
Portuguesa vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Portuguesa
Deportivo La Guaira
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1