Potenza Calcio welcome Monopoli to the Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani on September 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. This Serie C: Girone C fixture arrives only four days after the teams drew 1-1 in the second round of the Coppa Italia, when Potenza eventually advanced 5-3 on penalties. The quick reunion gives both sides an immediate opportunity to respond to what they learned from that balanced cup contest. Potenza begin the third league matchday in first place after collecting six points from six, while ninth-placed Monopoli have three points from their opening two games. Although the hosts have made the stronger league start, the recent cup meeting and the wider head-to-head record suggest another closely contested encounter.

Potenza Calcio Recent Form and Key Statistics

Potenza Calcio have opened their Serie C campaign with two consecutive victories. They defeated Casarano at home before winning away against Cosenza, producing an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their two league matches. That perfect start has taken them to the top of Serie C: Girone C with a goal difference of +4.

Their broader five-match sequence has been less consistent, featuring two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across that sample, Potenza averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Those figures contrast with their excellent opening league numbers and underline why the early campaign should still be assessed carefully despite the maximum return of six points.

Potenza also arrive after progressing in the Coppa Italia. They had previously eliminated Ascoli in the preliminary round before facing Monopoli on September 1. Tisci's team fell behind in that latest cup tie but drew level through a penalty converted by Jacopo Murano. With the score still 1-1 after regulation time, the shootout ended 5-3, and Bruschi scored the decisive final penalty.

Second-half action has been a recurring feature of Potenza's matches. At least one goal has been scored after the interval in their last 16 Serie C games, as well as in their last 10 home league fixtures. Considering all competitions, 20 of their previous 22 matches have also contained a second-half goal. Potenza have additionally avoided being behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 home matches.

Monopoli Recent Form and Key Statistics

Monopoli have recorded one victory and one defeat in Serie C: Girone C this season. They lost against Altamura but responded by beating Catania 2-0, leaving them ninth with three points. Their current league averages stand at 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded per match, numbers that point towards relatively controlled contests during the opening two rounds.

Over their last five matches, Monopoli have managed one win, two draws and two defeats. They averaged 0.8 goals both scored and conceded during that period. Their route through the previous Coppa Italia round was also tight: they overcame Audace Cerignola on penalties after a 1-1 draw in regulation time. The following round produced the same 1-1 score against Potenza, although this time Monopoli were eliminated in the shootout.

Low-scoring patterns are especially prominent in Monopoli's statistics. Fewer than 3.5 total goals have been recorded in 28 of their last 29 matches. In Serie C: Girone C specifically, the same outcome occurred in 25 of their previous 26 games. Their first-half record is equally notable, with Monopoli failing to win at the interval in each of their last 18 away league matches and in 26 of their previous 27 Serie C fixtures overall.

At least one team has failed to score before half-time in 35 of Monopoli's last 37 league games and in 37 of their previous 40 matches across the broader sample. They have also failed to lead at the break in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures, while nine of their last 15 away league matches saw them trailing at half-time. These trends suggest that the opening period could be particularly important for a Monopoli side that has rarely established an early advantage.

Potenza Calcio vs Monopoli Match Analysis

The recent evidence creates an intriguing contrast. Potenza possess the only perfect league record in this fixture and have scored freely across their opening two Serie C matches. Monopoli, however, have repeatedly been involved in games that remain below the 3.5-goal line, while their last five matches produced modest averages at both ends of the pitch.

The head-to-head data further supports the expectation of a competitive game. The latest meeting finished 1-1 on September 1, with Potenza requiring penalties to advance. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Potenza's perspective, the record is no wins, four draws and one defeat, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Therefore, Potenza's position at the top of the division does not automatically translate into a clear historical advantage over Monopoli.

There is also little separation in the stated result probabilities: Potenza are rated at 35%, the draw at 29% and Monopoli at 36%. Both Teams To Score is assessed at 53%, while Under 2.5 goals also carries a 53% probability. Potenza's recurring second-half goals create the possibility that the match will develop after the interval, but Monopoli's extensive low-scoring record remains the strongest repeated statistical theme. With the sides already having cancelled each other out over 90 minutes only days earlier, another measured contest with a narrow final margin appears consistent with the available information.

Potenza Calcio vs Monopoli prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.