The final round of Serie C – Girone C brings an intriguing clash between Potenza Calcio and Monopoli, two sides that have already secured their spots in the promotion playoffs but with very different motivations. The home team approaches this fixture with the calm confidence of a side that has already achieved its main goal thanks to their Coppa Italia Serie C triumph, while the visitors still have something to fight for — a better position in the playoff bracket that could make a big difference in their postseason path. The match is scheduled for Sunday, April 26, at 18:00, and promises to be a tactical and psychological battle more than a purely competitive one.

Potenza Calcio’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Potenza Calcio come into this encounter sitting 10th in the Serie C: Girone C standings. Their recent form has been mixed but generally positive, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. The most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Catania on April 19, a result that reflected both their attacking potential and occasional defensive lapses. Over this period, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, showing a tendency toward open, goal-filled games.

Across the season, Potenza’s record stands at 12 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. One notable trend is their consistency in producing second-half action — there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last 13 league fixtures. This pattern suggests that Potenza often grow into games, finding their rhythm after the break. With their playoff qualification already secured, the team could approach this match with less pressure, potentially allowing for a more fluid and attacking display in front of their supporters.

• Ranking: 10th in Serie C: Girone C


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 1.4 | Conceded: 1.5


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 13 matches


• Last result: 1-1 vs Catania (April 19, 2026)

Monopoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monopoli arrive at this decisive fixture in 7th place, still looking to secure the best possible playoff position. Their latest performance was a 1-0 victory over Foggia on April 19, confirming their solid defensive structure and ability to grind out results. Over their last five matches, Monopoli have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game — a clear sign of their pragmatic and balanced approach.

Throughout the season, Monopoli’s record reads 15 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Their matches tend to be tight and low-scoring: Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 23 league games, and the same trend continues away from home, where Under 3.5 goals have been seen in their last 11 trips. Furthermore, Monopoli have not led at half time in any of their last 24 matches, underlining their tendency to start cautiously and build momentum as the game progresses.

• Ranking: 7th in Serie C: Girone C


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 2D – 1L


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Conceded: 1.1


• Under 3.5 goals in last 23 matches


• No half-time wins in last 24 league games


• Last result: 1-0 vs Foggia (April 19, 2026)

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The previous meeting between these two sides ended 2-1 on December 21, 2025, a result that reflected the narrow margins that often define their encounters. In their last five head-to-head clashes, Potenza have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.0. These numbers suggest that Monopoli have historically had the upper hand, but the difference has rarely been overwhelming.

From a tactical standpoint, this match could see Potenza adopting a more relaxed approach, focusing on maintaining rhythm and avoiding injuries before the playoffs. Monopoli, on the other hand, have every reason to push for a result that could improve their seeding. Their compact defensive setup and disciplined midfield could make it difficult for Potenza to find space, especially in the first half. However, given Potenza’s tendency to score after the break and Monopoli’s late surges, the second half could be decisive once again.

Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring contest seems likely, with Under 2.5 goals being a recurring theme in Monopoli’s recent fixtures. Still, Potenza’s attacking efficiency at home cannot be ignored, and a balanced, cautious game with few clear chances could unfold.

Potenza Calcio vs Monopoli Prediction

Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture appears evenly matched, though the motivation factor leans slightly toward Monopoli. Potenza’s secure playoff status may lead them to rotate or manage energy, while Monopoli’s need for points could inspire a more determined display. The historical head-to-head also favors the visitors, albeit narrowly.

Therefore, the BetMines prediction for this match points to a Draw (X) with a probability of 29%. Both teams have shown defensive solidity and limited offensive output in recent weeks, making a balanced result the most plausible outcome.