At the Parken Stadium in Copenhagen on Sunday, October 12, Denmark will host Greece in a match that could be crucial for qualification to the upcoming World Cup, scheduled for June in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. At the halfway point of Group C, Denmark leads the standings with 7 points, tied with Scotland but ahead thanks to a superior goal difference (+9 vs +4). Greece, on the other hand, is in third place with 3 points and cannot afford any more slip-ups if they want to stay in contention for direct qualification or the playoffs. A home victory would take Denmark to 10 points, consolidating their lead and virtually eliminating Greece from the race for the top two spots. For Ivanovic’s men, this match represents the last chance: the Greeks will take the field in Copenhagen to avenge their recent defeat against Scotland and keep their hopes alive of at least reaching the playoffs.

Denmark's Form and Key Statistics

Denmark is in good form, having lost only one of their last six matches across World Cup qualifiers and the Nations League, securing three wins and two draws. In their most recent Group C match on October 9, Riemer’s men demolished Belarus 6-0, with doubles from Hojlund and Dreyer and goals from Froholdt and Dorgu.

After the first three matchdays of the group, the Scandinavian team collected 7 points, with two wins and a draw, averaging 3 goals scored per game and none conceded. These numbers highlight the strong attacking potential of Hojlund and his teammates, as well as the solidity of a defense that remains unbeaten, led by the experienced goalkeeper Kasper Schmeichel, now playing for Celtic.

Denmark’s home form is encouraging: the team has remained unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 matches in front of their home crowd across all competitions. In World Cup qualifying, the Danes have lost only one of their last 12 matches overall, with 10 wins and a draw completing the record.

Greece's Form and Key Statistics

Greece is going through a delicate period, coming off two consecutive losses and, more broadly, a record of three defeats and two wins in their last five official matches across all competitions. In their last game, played on October 9 in Glasgow, the Greeks suffered a heavy 3-1 defeat against Scotland: Tsimikas scored in the 62nd minute, but they conceded three goals in the final thirty minutes, throwing away the chance to at least earn a draw.

The standings after the first three matchdays of Group C are complicated: 3 points, from one win and two losses, with an average of 2 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. These numbers highlight the defensive struggles of the team, still searching for balance despite an offensively capable squad.

Before the loss in Scotland, Jovanovic’s men had shown strong performances away from home, achieving four consecutive wins with an average of 2.25 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded per game, confirming their ability to get results on the road.

Denmark vs Greece Prediction by BetMines

The prediction for Denmark vs Greece strongly favors the home team, who already won 3-0 in the first-leg match played on September 8 in Greece. In the last three encounters between the two teams, Denmark has won twice, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game while conceding just 0.7.

According to BetMines, Denmark’s victory has a 54% probability, while Greece’s win is estimated at 20%. A draw appears more likely than an away win for the Greeks, with a probability of 26%.

Riemer’s squad has demonstrated in recent official matches that they are solid defensively, especially when playing at home. For this reason, BetMines recommends the bet “at least one team does not score,” suggesting that Greece may fail to score.

Considering Denmark’s defensive compactness, it is also possible that the match could end with fewer than three total goals (Under 2.5 goals), an option given a 53% probability versus 47% for Over 2.5 goals.

Probable Lineups Denmark vs Greece

DENMARK (3-5-2): Schmeichel; Christensen, Andersen, Vestergaard; Isaksen, Hojbjerg, Hjulmand, Dorgu; Damsgaard, Froholdt; Hojlund. Coach: B. Riemer.

GREECE (4-2-3-1): Tzolakis; Vagiannidis, Mavropanos, Koulierakis, Tsimikas; Kourbelis, Zafeiris; Masouras, Bakasetas, Tzolis; Pavlidis. Coach: I. Jovanovic.