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Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 5:31 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 6:56 PM
At the Arena Garibaldi on Sunday, November 30, the 13th round of Serie A features the clash between Pisa and Inter, two teams hunting crucial points for their seasonal objectives: survival for the Tuscan side and a title win for the Nerazzurri. The home team comes off strong performances, highlighted by their first win of the season against Cremonese and an away draw against Sassuolo, results that helped Alberto Gilardino's side move away from the bottom three, sitting two points above the third-last position. A victory against Inter would not only be prestigious but also confirm the good work done so far by the former Genoa coach. Inter, on the other hand, arrives in Pisa eager to bounce back after two consecutive defeats against Milan and Atletico Madrid. The derby loss, in particular, hit hard psychologically, but a win against the Tuscans, taking advantage of the direct clash between Roma and Napoli, could relaunch the Nerazzurri toward first place, currently just four points behind.
Pisa is in good form, going six matches unbeaten with five draws and one win. In the last league round on November 24, the Tuscans drew 2-2 away against Sassuolo, conceding the equalizer in the final minutes.
The Nerazzurri are just above the relegation zone, with 10 points so far, the result of 1 win, 7 draws, and 4 losses, averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. With only 10 goals scored, they are among the least prolific teams in the league, while defensively they show encouraging signs, keeping a clean sheet in three of their last six matches.
Gilardino's side has not lost any of their last four home matches, collecting three draws and one win with only one goal scored and none conceded. In the six Serie A matches played at Arena Garibaldi, Pisa has earned 6 points, scoring just one goal and conceding two, showing a compact formation at home.
After four consecutive wins between late October and early November, Inter has slowed down significantly in both Serie A and the Champions League, suffering back-to-back defeats against Milan (0-1) and Atletico Madrid (2-1). Despite the results, Chivu's men created many chances, lacking finishing efficiency in front of goal.
The Italian vice-champions are still in the race for the Serie A title, sitting fourth with 24 points (8 wins, 4 losses), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Inter boasts by far the league's best attack, with 26 goals in 12 matches, but they have conceded at least one goal in four of their last five games.
Inter lacks consistency on the road: in the last five away matches across all competitions, they recorded three wins and two losses. Focusing only on Serie A, they have collected 9 points away from San Siro, including three wins, one against Roma, and two losses in big matches against Juventus and Napoli.
Given the technical gap between the two teams and the 14-point difference in the standings, BetMines predicts a clear win for Inter (53% probability), eager to turn the page after consecutive defeats against Milan and Atletico Madrid.
Chivu's men have been particularly effective away against lower-ranked teams this season, while struggling against direct rivals. Despite some defensive uncertainty in recent matches, Pisa's attack (scoring only once in six home games) appears unlikely to threaten the Nerazzurri.
Considering the home side's offensive struggles, it is likely that Inter will not only win but could also score at least three goals without conceding. Chivu's team has the league's best attack, with players like Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram ready to redeem themselves after underwhelming recent performances.
Based on these factors, BetMines' prediction tips suggest an Inter victory, with Over 2.5 goals and the outcome "at least one team fails to score," with 57% and 59% probability respectively.
PISA (3-5-2): Semper; Canestrelli, Caracciolo, Calabresi; Touré, Piccinini, Aebischer, Leris, Angori; Nzola, Tramoni. Coach: Gilardino
INTER (3-5-2): Sommer; Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni; Luis Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Sucic, Dimarco; Thuram, Martinez. Coach: Chivu
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pisa
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3