On Sunday, November 30, the Stadio Olimpico will host the big match of Serie A Matchday 13 between Roma and Napoli, currently first and third in the league table, separated by just two points. Gasperini’s team, fresh from a 2-1 win in the Europa League against Midtjylland, is hunting for its fifth consecutive victory across all competitions to consolidate top spot and extend the gap over a direct rival. Napoli, meanwhile, comes into this game after two consecutive wins between Serie A and the Champions League and aims to keep its positive momentum. Winning at the Olimpico, however, will not be easy, especially against a Roma side boasting the best defense in the league. A victory would nevertheless allow Conte’s men to overtake Roma in the standings. Given what is at stake, this promises to be an intense and hard-fought clash: both teams know they cannot afford missteps in a direct encounter that could heavily influence the Scudetto race.

Roma's form and key statistics

Roma, coming off four consecutive wins, claimed an impressive 3-1 away victory in their latest Serie A match on the pitch of Cremonese, thanks to goals from Soulé, Ferguson, and Wesley, conceding only in stoppage time.

Gian Piero Gasperini’s team currently sits at the top of Serie A with 27 points, the result of 9 wins and 3 losses, with an average of 1.25 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match. The Giallorossi’s main strength is undoubtedly their defensive solidity: they boast the league’s best backline with just 6 goals conceded in 12 matches, keeping 6 clean sheets.

Across all competitions, Roma have won three consecutive home matches, the latest being the 2-1 midweek Europa League victory against Midtjylland. In this start to the season, Roma have collected 12 points in their first six home league games with 4 wins and 2 losses, including the defeat in the big match against Inter Milan (0-1) on October 18.

Napoli's form and key statistics

After two draws and a loss in their first three matches of November, Napoli stepped up following the international break, securing two consecutive victories in Serie A and the Champions League against Atalanta (3-1) and Qarabag (2-0).

Antonio Conte’s men arrive at this crucial encounter in third place with 25 points (8 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) and an average of 1.58 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Their defensive numbers are also encouraging, with four clean sheets in their last six matches across all competitions, thanks in part to Milinkovic-Savic, often decisive between the posts.

Napoli must urgently improve their away form if they want to compete for the title: in their last six away games across all competitions, they have won only once and lost the other five. In their first six away matches of the 2025/26 Serie A season, they have collected 9 points from 3 wins and 3 losses, including defeats in direct clashes against AC Milan (2-1) and Bologna (2-0).

BetMines prediction for Roma vs Napoli

The Serie A Matchday 13 clash between Roma and Napoli looks set to be one of the most balanced matchups of the weekend. Despite the tight contest, Roma’s defensive solidity suggests that Gasperini’s side may have a slight edge in securing the win.

Recent meetings also reflect the uncertainty: in the last five encounters, there has been one Roma win, two Napoli victories, and two draws. Their most recent match-up, last February at the Olimpico, ended 1-1 with goals from Angeliño and Spinazzola.

Tactically, both teams like to control possession, but Roma, pushed by home advantage, will be required to do more to avoid another setback after the defeat to Inter Milan. The technical ability of Dybala, likely deployed as a false nine, combined with that of Soulé and Pellegrini, could trouble a Napoli defense that is not particularly quick.

At the same time, by pushing to control the game, Roma risk leaving space for Napoli’s counterattacks. Napoli can rely on the pace of Neres and Lang on the wings, as well as Højlund’s runs in behind, all capable of threatening Svilar's goal.

Based on these factors, the BetMines predictions indicate two main outcomes: Roma to win, estimated at 45%, and Over 2.5 Goals, priced at 56%.

Probable lineups Roma vs Napoli

ROMA (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso; Celik, El Aynaoui, Cristante, Wesley; Soulé, Pellegrini; Dybala. Manager: Gasperini

NAPOLI (3-4-2-1): Milinkovic; Beukema, Rrahmani, Buongiorno; Di Lorenzo, McTominay, Lobotka, Olivera; Neres, Lang; Højlund. Manager: Conte