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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 11:02 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 11:02 PM
Preston North End host Millwall at Deepdale on October 10, 2026, as Championship football resumes after the international break. Kick-off is scheduled for 14:00 local time. Both clubs enter the fixture without a win in their last three league matches, but their positions differ: Preston are 23rd, while Millwall are 11th. The visitors have a particularly strong record in this matchup, having gone seven away games against Preston without defeat. Recent draws have frustrated both sides for different reasons, making this a test of which team can turn a promising position into a result.
Preston North End return to league action after a 2-2 draw with Queens Park Rangers on September 19. Preston had led 2-0 against a QPR side reduced to ten players, but could not protect their advantage. The result left them with four points from eight Championship games: one win, one draw and six defeats. Across their last five matches, they have recorded one victory, one draw and three losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per game.
Home results have offered little relief. Three of Preston's first four home league fixtures ended in defeat, and they have lost four of their last five home matches. Their wider run has also been difficult, with seven defeats in nine competitive outings. Those figures put added importance on making the most of any lead they establish against Millwall, especially after the points dropped against QPR.
Defending remains Preston's most persistent concern. They have conceded at least once in their last 25 matches, including their last 23 Championship games and their last 13 home fixtures. Their league averages stand at 1.0 goal scored and 1.9 conceded per match. There has been at least one second-half goal, counting both teams, in each of Preston's last 13 home games, so their recent home record gives them little reason to assume a match is settled before the final whistle.
Millwall began their Championship campaign with three wins in five matches, though they have since gone three league games without a victory. Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw against West Ham United on September 19. That followed another 2-2 draw against Middlesbrough, with Millwall surrendering a 2-0 lead in each match. They have shown they can build an advantage against demanding opposition, but those two results also underline the need to manage one more securely.
Over their last five matches, Millwall have one win, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across that stretch. Their eight-game Championship record is three wins, two draws and three losses, with season averages of 1.9 goals both scored and conceded. Those figures point to a side capable of creating goals, while also showing why their recent leads have not been enough to secure wins.
The trip to Deepdale brings a more encouraging piece of history for the visitors. Millwall are unbeaten in their last seven away matches against Preston, winning four of them. They also won the most recent head-to-head meeting 2-0 on February 28, 2026. That record does not decide this game, but it gives Millwall a firmer foundation in this particular fixture than their current three-match league winless run might suggest.
Both teams have reason to focus on protecting a lead. Preston's 2-2 draw with ten-man QPR and Millwall's consecutive 2-2 draws after leading by two goals make that the clearest shared theme going into the match. For the hosts, the concern extends beyond one result: conceding in 25 consecutive matches has made it difficult to turn competitive spells into points. Millwall's task is to avoid another late reversal after putting themselves in a strong position.
The numbers also explain why this Championship fixture is not straightforward despite Millwall's stronger head-to-head record. Preston scored twice in their latest game, while Millwall have conceded an average of 1.9 goals per league match. The visitors, however, have scored at the same average rate, compared with Preston's 1.0. Their ability to find goals, combined with Preston's prolonged run without a clean sheet, gives Millwall a credible route to improving on their recent draws.
Preston will look to make home advantage count, but three defeats in their first four home league games show how difficult that has been so far. Millwall have not won in three Championship outings either, and their recent lost leads are a clear warning against treating an advantage as a finished job. Even with those reservations, their seven-game unbeaten away run in this matchup and the sides' contrasting league records make the visitors the more convincing choice.
Preston North End vs Millwall prediction from BetMines: Millwall win (2) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Preston North End
Millwall
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
9
1
10
0