The final day of the EFL Championship season brings an intriguing clash between Preston North End and Southampton at Deepdale. With both sides having contrasting objectives, this encounter promises intensity and goals. Preston, sitting 12th in the standings, aim to finish their campaign on a positive note in front of their home fans. Meanwhile, Southampton, currently fifth, have already secured a playoff spot but still have a chance to climb higher in the table. The match carries significance for both teams, with pride and momentum at stake.

Preston North End’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Preston North End approach this fixture looking to end their season strongly after a mixed run of results. Their recent 3-2 away victory over Sheffield United on April 25 was a much-needed boost following consecutive defeats to West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham. Over their last five matches, Preston have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. This improvement comes after a difficult spell earlier in the campaign, where they endured a four-match losing streak and seven games without a win.

At home, however, Preston have struggled to impose themselves recently, failing to win their last two league games at Deepdale. Defensively, they have shown vulnerability, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 Championship matches. On the attacking front, their games have been consistently open, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 12 league fixtures. Corners have also been a regular feature, with Over 7.5 corners taken in 20 of their last 21 Championship matches.

• League position: 12th


• Season record: 15 wins, 15 draws, 15 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.3 per match


• Over 1.5 goals in last 12 matches


• At least one goal conceded in last 14 matches

Despite their mid-table standing, Preston have shown flashes of resilience and attacking intent, particularly in away fixtures. A win here would not only provide a morale boost but also secure a balanced finish to their campaign.

Southampton’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Southampton enter this match with their playoff position confirmed but still motivated to close the gap on the top three. Their recent form has been steady, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five outings. The Saints’ most recent result was a 2-2 home draw against Ipswich Town on April 28, a match that showcased their attacking flair but also highlighted defensive lapses. Over the course of the season, they have been one of the most consistent sides in the Championship, boasting 21 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Southampton’s attacking consistency is remarkable — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 24 matches across all competitions, including 19 consecutive league games. Their away form has been particularly impressive, as they remain unbeaten in their last 18 Championship matches. Furthermore, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in each of their last 13 away league games. This combination of attacking reliability and resilience makes them a formidable opponent.

• League position: 5th


• Season record: 21 wins, 14 draws, 10 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.8 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Unbeaten in last 18 Championship matches


• At least one goal scored in last 24 matches


• Over 1.5 goals in 19 of last 20 away matches

With such consistency, Southampton will look to maintain momentum heading into the playoffs. Their attacking depth and ability to find goals in any situation could prove decisive once again at Deepdale.

Preston North End vs Southampton Analysis and Prediction

Historically, this fixture has been competitive, with Southampton holding a slight edge in recent meetings. The last encounter ended 2-0 in favor of the Saints on November 1, 2025. Preston’s record against Southampton stands at one win, two draws, and two defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. This suggests that while Preston can be dangerous, Southampton’s attacking efficiency often makes the difference.

Given both teams’ recent trends, goals are expected. Preston’s defensive frailties and Southampton’s attacking consistency point toward an open contest. The data also supports this: both teams have seen Over 1.5 goals in most of their recent matches, and Both Teams To Score has been a frequent outcome. Southampton’s unbeaten run and superior goal-scoring record make them slight favorites, but Preston’s home advantage could keep the game competitive.

In terms of probabilities, Southampton are given a 47% chance of winning, Preston 28%, and a draw 26%. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes stands at 53%, while Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51%. These figures underline the expectation of an entertaining and attacking match.

Ultimately, Southampton’s consistency and attacking rhythm may give them the edge. Preston will need to be defensively disciplined to avoid being overrun by a side that has not lost in 21 of their last 22 matches. Expect a lively encounter with several goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.

Preston North End vs Southampton prediction from BetMines: Southampton win (2) with 47% probability.