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Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 2:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone A | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 2:02 PM
The seventeenth round of Serie C Group A features an intriguing clash between Pro Vercelli and Renate, two sides that have shown unpredictable form throughout the season. The match will take place on Saturday afternoon at the Silvio Piola Stadium in Vercelli, with kick-off scheduled for 14:30. Both teams have alternated strong performances with unexpected setbacks, making this encounter one of the most uncertain fixtures of the weekend. With only three points separating them in the standings, the game could either tighten the table or open new opportunities for the home side to climb higher.
Pro Vercelli currently sit seventh in the Serie C Group A standings, having collected 23 points from 16 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats). Their recent form has been mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five outings. The team averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, showing a balance between attack and defense but lacking consistency. In their most recent match, they drew 1-1 against Inter U23 on November 30, a result that reflected both their resilience and their difficulty in closing out games.
At home, the White Shirts have been relatively solid, with only 4 of their last 14 home matches ending with fewer than 0.5 total goals. This suggests that while they may not always dominate, they tend to find the net in front of their supporters. The team’s attacking output has been steady, averaging 1.4 goals scored in their last five matches, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points. A win here could push them closer to the playoff zone and reinforce their reputation as a tough side to beat at the Silvio Piola.
Renate approach this fixture from the tenth position in the table, with 20 points after 16 games (5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats). Their campaign has been characterized by low-scoring matches and a cautious approach. The team averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, reflecting a defensive mindset that often keeps them competitive but limits their attacking potential. In their last outing, they suffered a 1-2 defeat to Union ArzignanoChiampo on November 29, a setback that interrupted a decent run of results.
Renate’s recent record mirrors that of their opponents, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Interestingly, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 12 league games, confirming their tendency toward tight, tactical encounters. Away from home, they have struggled to score freely, with Under 0.5 goals appearing in 2 of their last 10 away fixtures. Despite these limitations, Renate’s disciplined structure and ability to frustrate opponents could make them a tricky side to break down in Vercelli.
Historically, Renate have had the upper hand in this matchup. In the last five head-to-head meetings, they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, while Pro Vercelli have yet to beat them. The most recent encounter ended 1-2 in favor of Renate on April 25, 2025. Over those games, Pro Vercelli have averaged just 0.4 goals scored per match, while conceding 1.2, underlining their struggles against this opponent.
From a tactical perspective, both teams are expected to adopt a cautious approach. Pro Vercelli will likely rely on their home advantage and attempt to control possession, while Renate may focus on compact defending and quick transitions. Given both sides’ recent scoring patterns, this contest could be decided by fine margins, with defensive discipline playing a crucial role. The low goal averages and consistent Under 3.5 trend in Renate’s matches suggest another tight affair is on the cards.
The most likely outcome is a Pro Vercelli win (1) with a 48% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 30%, while a Renate win (2) stands at 22%. Considering both teams’ recent form and head-to-head history, a narrow home victory appears the most probable scenario.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pro Vercelli
Renate
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1