PSV vs Arsenal Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Champions League

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Philips Stadion
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Mar 3, 2025

At the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven, the home team PSV welcomes English side Arsenal for the first leg of the Champions League round of 16. The Dutch team reached this stage after eliminating Juventus in the playoffs, overturning a 2-1 defeat in Turin during extra time of the second leg. In the home match against the Bianconeri, Bosz’s side showcased the skills of their wingers, with Perisic and Lang keeping Thiago Motta’s defense constantly on edge. The former Inter player, who joined PSV in the last transfer window, was the key player in the tie, scoring in both the first and second leg. On the other hand, Arsenal comes into this match having avoided the physical and emotional strain of the playoffs, finishing third in the group stage behind Liverpool and Barcelona. The English team has so far registered 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in this Champions League season, with the sole defeat coming in November away to Inter. On paper, Mikel Arteta's squad appears well-positioned to advance to the quarterfinals, but they must not underestimate PSV, especially when playing at home.

 

PSV's Shape and Key Statistics

Before eliminating Juventus in the playoffs, PSV collected 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the group stage, averaging 2 goals per game and conceding 1.5. This performance allowed them to finish 14th, ahead of higher-ranked teams like PSG, Juventus, and Manchester City.

PSV, currently second in Eredivisie, 8 points behind Ajax, is building much of its success at home. In fact, they have won their last 4 Champions League matches at the Philips Stadium, and in the league, they remain unbeaten at home (9 wins and 3 draws).

 

Arsenal's Shape and Key Statistics

While Arsenal hasn't been able to keep up with Liverpool in the Premier League this season, they are still meeting expectations, sitting second in the league and progressing directly to the Champions League round of 16.

In the Champions League, Arteta's team has earned 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring only 7 goals and conceding just 3. They’ve also won their last two away matches in this competition, defeating Girona and Sporting.

 

PSV vs Arsenal Prediction and Tactical Overview

What will be the tactical theme of the game? The weapons at Peter Bosz’s disposal are undoubtedly the speed and skill of his wingers, Perisic and Lang, alongside the forward runs of Saibari, who also scored against Juventus.

Arsenal, who has won 2 of their last 4 encounters with PSV, will be without several key offensive players like Havertz, Saka, and Martinelli. However, despite these absences, the Gunners can still find the back of the net.

Since the match could be closely contested and hard-fought, BetMines’ algorithm prediction for PSV vs Arsenal suggests a game where both teams will score at least one goal.

  • The BetMines algorithm prediction for the PSV vs Arsenal match predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 63%
  • The BetMines algorithm prediction for the PSV vs Arsenal match predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score at 37%

 

Probable Lineups PSV vs Arsenal

PSV EINDHOVEN (4-3-3): Benitez; Ledezma, Flamingo, Boscagli, Mauro Junior; Veerman, Schouten, Saibari; Perisic, L. De Jong, Lang. Coach: Bosz.

ARSENAL (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Jorginho, Rice, Odegaard; Nwaneri, Trossard, Merino. Coach: Arteta.

PSV vs Arsenal - Predictions

Other
  • Both teams to score
  • Total Corners

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PSV vs Arsenal: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

PSV

Arsenal

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of PSV and Arsenal in Champions League

Other
  • Over/Under 2nd Half
  • Over/Under Corner
  • Both Teams to score
  • BTTS - Half Time
  • BTTS - 2nd Half
  • Three way results

League Stage - Ranking

Team

MP

W

D

L

G

Pts

3

Arsenal

8

6

1

1

16:3

19

14

PSV

8

4

2

2

16:12

14

8th Finals
Play-off

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