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Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 9:02 PM
The 26th round of the Eredivisie brings an exciting clash at the Philips Stadion as PSV Eindhoven host AZ Alkmaar on March 7. The league leaders aim to take another decisive step toward the title, while AZ look to bounce back and strengthen their position in the top half of the table. With both sides known for their attacking intent, this fixture promises to deliver plenty of entertainment and goals.
PSV Eindhoven enter this match still sitting comfortably at the top of the Eredivisie standings, boasting a record of 21 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 defeats this season. Despite a recent 3-2 loss to NEC Nijmegen, the home side remain the dominant force in Dutch football, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking rhythm has rarely faltered, with at least one goal scored in each of their last 21 league matches and over 2.5 goals recorded in the last 17.
At the Philips Stadion, PSV have been particularly ruthless. They have scored in their last 15 home matches and seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last nine Eredivisie home fixtures. The team’s ability to start strong is also notable, having led at half time in 9 of their last 13 home games. These numbers underline their consistency and attacking depth, which have made them nearly unstoppable on home soil.
Even after their Champions League exit, PSV responded with convincing domestic wins over Feyenoord, Groningen, Heerenveen, and Heracles, reaffirming their attacking power. The team’s offensive creativity and relentless tempo make them favorites to extend their winning run at home.
AZ Alkmaar travel to Eindhoven after a busy schedule across multiple competitions. Their recent 2-1 victory over Telstar showed resilience, and they have now won three of their last five matches in all competitions. In the Eredivisie, AZ’s record stands at 11 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Although their form has been inconsistent, recent wins against Sparta, Utrecht, and Excelsior suggest a return to confidence.
AZ’s away performances have been unpredictable. They have not drawn any of their last 18 away games, often producing open, high-scoring encounters. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures, highlighting their tendency to stay competitive until the final whistle. However, defensive lapses have cost them points against stronger opponents, and they will need to tighten up to contain PSV’s attack.
Despite their attacking potential, AZ’s defense remains a concern, especially against a side that thrives on early pressure. Their last meeting with PSV ended in a heavy 1-5 defeat in Alkmaar, a result they will be eager to avenge. Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-heads and averaging 3.6 goals per game in those encounters.
All indicators point toward a fast-paced and goal-filled contest. PSV’s attacking numbers are exceptional, and their home advantage at the Philips Stadion gives them a clear edge. AZ, however, have shown enough quality in recent weeks to pose a threat, particularly through their ability to score in away matches. The visitors will likely look to exploit transitions, but PSV’s offensive consistency and superior form make them strong favorites.
Given the statistical trends, fans can expect an open match with multiple scoring opportunities. PSV’s record of over 2.5 goals in their last 17 matches and AZ’s attacking approach suggest that both teams could find the net. However, PSV’s dominance in recent head-to-heads and their relentless home form make a home victory the most probable outcome.
BetMines prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar:
Home Win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
PSV
AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
2
8
6
4
4.5
5
5
9
1