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PSV
6:00 PM
September 13, 2026
Sparta Rotterdam
Prediction published on Sep 11, 2026 11:37 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Sep 11, 2026 11:37 PM
PSV welcome Sparta Rotterdam to the Philips Stadion on September 13, 2026, with the Eredivisie fixture scheduled to begin at 18:00 local time. The hosts enter the sixth round of the season in second place after collecting 13 points from five league matches, while Sparta Rotterdam are 11th following a less consistent opening. PSV have recorded four victories and one draw in the Eredivisie, whereas the visitors have one win, two draws and two defeats. This match comes only three days after PSV drew 1-1 with Shakhtar Donetsk, but their excellent domestic scoring figures make them favorites to continue their positive run. Sparta Rotterdam travel to Eindhoven after a 2-2 draw against PEC Zwolle and will need to improve defensively against a side averaging more than three goals per game.
PSV have produced four wins and one draw across their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game during that sequence. Their Eredivisie record is similarly impressive: four victories, one draw and no defeats, with averages of 3.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Recent domestic results include a 3-1 victory against Ajax, a 6-1 win over FC Utrecht, a 5-1 success against Groningen and a 2-1 triumph over Excelsior.
The hosts have demonstrated remarkable attacking consistency. PSV have scored at least once in each of their last 30 Eredivisie matches and in their previous 24 games across all competitions. At the Philips Stadion, they have found the net in 19 consecutive matches, including each of their last 14 Eredivisie home fixtures. More significantly, PSV have scored at least twice in their previous 14 home league matches and in each of their last 11 Eredivisie games overall.
The total-goals trends surrounding PSV are equally strong. Their previous 35 matches have all contained more than 1.5 goals, while that threshold has also been cleared in their last 26 Eredivisie fixtures. At home, each of PSV's previous 14 league matches has produced over 2.5 goals, and the last six have all featured more than 3.5 goals. Across all venues, 30 of their previous 32 matches have ended with at least three goals, including their last nine Eredivisie games.
PSV regularly make an early impact as well. At least one first-half goal has been scored in their previous 18 matches, including the last 16 in the Eredivisie and the last 14 league fixtures at home. They have been ahead at half-time in each of their last four Eredivisie games and in eight of their previous 11 matches overall. Second-half action has also been reliable, with a goal after the interval in PSV's last 21 games and their previous 10 home matches.
Sparta Rotterdam approach this trip with one victory, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded during that period, figures that are identical to their Eredivisie averages after five rounds. Their latest result was a 2-2 draw with PEC Zwolle on September 4, while a 2-1 defeat against Excelsior and a 3-3 draw with FC Utrecht also illustrate how their recent games have provided goals at both ends.
Those numbers present Sparta Rotterdam with a demanding challenge. Scoring an average of 1.8 goals shows that the visitors can contribute offensively, but conceding at the same rate could be costly against PSV's prolific attack. Both teams have scored during the second half of Sparta Rotterdam's last four Eredivisie matches, reinforcing the possibility of another game that remains open after the interval.
Corners are another notable feature of Sparta Rotterdam's results. More than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 19 away matches, including 18 consecutive league trips. That mark has also been reached in 34 of their previous 36 matches across all competitions and in 31 of their last 33 Eredivisie games. Furthermore, 33 of Sparta Rotterdam's previous 36 fixtures have produced over 8.5 corners, as have 30 of their last 33 league matches.
The visitors must also respond to an unfavorable head-to-head record. PSV have won all five matches included in the supplied head-to-head summary, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 PSV victory on April 11, 2026. Sparta Rotterdam therefore arrive needing to reverse both their recent inconsistency and a sequence of defeats in this matchup.
The statistical picture points toward a match in which PSV are likely to set an attacking tempo. They are unbeaten in their first five Eredivisie games, have scored at least twice in 11 consecutive league matches and have maintained the same minimum across 14 straight home league fixtures. Their 59% win probability is also higher than Sparta Rotterdam's 20%, with the draw rated at 21%.
However, PSV's defensive record suggests that the visitors may still have opportunities. The home side have conceded at least once in 20 of their previous 21 matches, while both teams have scored in PSV's last 10 games and last 10 home fixtures. In the Eredivisie, both sides have found the net in 22 of PSV's previous 24 matches. Combined with Sparta Rotterdam's average of 1.8 goals per game, that supports the 63% probability assigned to both teams scoring.
The clearest recurring theme remains the overall goal count. PSV's last nine Eredivisie matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, as have their previous 14 league games at the Philips Stadion. The hosts' last six home league fixtures have even crossed the 3.5-goal line. Sparta Rotterdam's recent 2-2 and 3-3 draws, together with identical averages of 1.8 scored and conceded, add further weight to the prospect of an open contest.
PSV's strong starts could place immediate pressure on the visitors, given the hosts' run of first-half goals and four successive half-time leads in the league. Sparta Rotterdam's recent second-half BTTS sequence indicates that the game may continue producing chances later on as well. Although PSV played three days earlier, the available trends consistently favor goals across both halves, with the over 2.5-goals probability standing at 68%.
PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
PSV
Sparta Rotterdam
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
7
3
8
2